Launch Vehicle Results
Summary: 1957 through December 31 2009. By Ed Kyle. Updated 12/31/09 Vehicle Successes Tries Realzd Pred Years Status
Rate Rate*
===============================================================
Angara KSLV-1 0 1 .00 .33 2009- Active
Ariane 1 9 11 .82 .77 1979-1986
Ariane 2 5 6 .83 .75 1986-1989
Ariane 3 10 11 .91 .85 1984-1989
Ariane 4 113 116 .97 .97 1988-2003
(ARIANE 1-4 TOTAL 137 144 .95 .95)
Ariane 5G 13 16 .81 .78 1996-2003
Ariane 5G+ 3 3 1.00 .80 2004-2004
Ariane 5GS 6 6 1.00 .88 2005- Active
Ariane 5ECA 22 23 .96 .92 2002- Active
Ariane 5ES 1 1 1.00 .67 2008- Active
(ARIANE 5 TOTAL 45 49 .92 .90)
Athena 1 3 4 .75 .67 1995-2001
Athena 2 2 3 .67 .60 1998-1999
(ATHENA TOTAL 5 7 .71 .67)
Atlas 5-401 8 9 .89 .82 2002- Active
Atlas 5-411 2 2 1.00 .75 2006- Active
Atlas 5-421 3 3 1.00 .80 2007- Active
Atlas 5-431 2 2 1.00 .75 2005- Active
Atlas 5-521 2 2 1.00 .75 2003- Active
Atlas 5-551 1 1 1.00 .67 2006- Active
(ATLAS 5 TOTAL 18 19 .95 .90)
Heritage Atlas
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Atlas ICBM 180 247 .73 .73 1957-1975 Suborbital
Atlas Able 0 3 .00 .17 1959-1960 SEE NOTE 1
Atlas Agena A 2 4 .50 .50 1960-1961
Atlas Agena B 22 29 .76 .74 1961-1966
Atlas Agena D 70 76 .92 .91 1963-1977
(All Atlas Agena 94 109 .86 .86)
Atlas Altair 3 1 1 1.00 .67 1990-1990
Atlas Antares 2 2 2 1.00 .75 1964-1965 Suborbital
Atlas ATDA 1 1 1.00 .67 1966-1966
Atlas Burner 2 1 2 .50 .50 1968-1972
LV-3C Centaur A-C 1 5 .20 .26 1962-1965
LV-3C Centaur D 6 7 .86 .78 1965-1967
SLV-3C Centaur D 14 17 .82 .79 1967-1972
SLV-3D Centaur D1 30 32 .93 .91 1973-1983
G Centaur D1AR 5 7 .71 .67 1984-1989
Atlas 1 Centaur 8 11 .73 .69 1990-1997
Atlas 2 Centaur 10 10 1.00 .92 1991-1998
Atlas 2A Centaur 23 23 1.00 .96 1992-2002
Atlas 2AS Centaur 30 30 1.00 .97 1993-2004
Atlas 3A Centaur 2 2 1.00 .75 2000-2004
Atlas 3B Centaur 4 4 1.00 .83 2002-2005
(ALL ATLAS CNTAUR 133 148 .90 .89)
Atlas Mercury 1 3 .33 .40 1959-1961 Suborbital
Atlas Mercury 6 7 .86 .78 1961-1963 Orbital
Atlas OIS 2 2 1.00 .75 1979-1985
Atlas OV-1 7 11 .64 .62 1965-1971
Atlas Prime 3 3 1.00 .80 1966-1967 Suborbital
Atlas PTS/MSD 9 10 .90 .83 1974-1987 (NOSS)
Atlas B Score 1 1 1.00 .67 1958-1958
Atlas Star 18 20 .90 .86 1975-1995
Atlas SGS 11 12 .92 .86 1977-1985
(ATLAS ORBITAL 284 326 .87 .87)
(ALL ATLAS 470 582 .81 .81) SEE NOTE 1
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Black Arrow (UK) 1 2 .50 .50 1969-1970 Suborbital
Black Arrow (UK) 1 2 .50 .50 1970-1970
(BLACK ARROW TOTAL 2 4 .50 .50)
Blue Streak Based Launchers
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Blue Streak (1 stg) 5 5 1.00 .86 1964-1966 Suborbital
Europa (2 stg Test) 0 2 .00 .25 1967-1967 Suborbital
Europa (I/II) 0 4 .00 .17 1968-1971
(BLUE STREAK TOTAL 5 11 .45 .46)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Conestoga 0 1 .00 .33 1995-1995
DF-3 Based Launchers (China)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
DF-3 IRBM 3 3 1.00 .80 1966-1970 Suborbital
CZ-1 2 2 1.00 .75 1970-1971
CZ-1D 2 3 .67 .60 1995-2002 Suborbital
(DF-3 ORBITAL 2 2 1.00 .75)
(DF-3 TOTAL 7 8 .88 .80)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
DF-5 Based Launchers (China)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
DF-5 ICBM 9 9 1.00 .91 1971-1981 Suborbital
FB-1 3 3 1.00 .80 1972-1978 Suborbital
FB-1 4 8 .50 .50 1973-1981
CZ-2(C)(SD/SM) 32 33 .97 .94 1974- Active
CZ-2D 11 11 1.00 .92 1992- Active
CZ-2E 5 7 .71 .67 1990-1995
CZ-2F 7 7 1.00 .89 1999- Active
CZ-3 10 13 .77 .73 1984-2000
CZ-3A 16 16 1.00 .94 1995- Active
CZ-3B 10 12 .83 .79 1996- Active
CZ-3C 2 2 1.00 .75 2008- Active
CZ-4(A/B/C) 18 18 1.00 .95 1988- Active
(DF-5 ORBITAL 115 127 .91 .90)
(DF-5 TOTAL 127 139 .91 .91)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
DF-31 Based Launchers (China)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
DF-31 IRBM 9 9 1.00 .91 1992- Suborbital
KT-1 (DF-31) 0 2 .00 .25 2002- Active
(DF-31 TOTAL 9 11 .82 .77)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Delta 4M 3 3 1.00 .80 2003- Active
Delta 4M+4,2 4 4 1.00 .83 2002- Active
Delta 4M+5,4 1 1 1.00 .67 2009- Active
Delta 4H 2 3 0.67 .60 2004- Active
(ALL DELTA IV CBC 10 11 0.91 .85)
Heritage (Thor) Delta (See Thor)
Emeraude-Based Launchers (France)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Emeraude (1-stg) 2 5 .40 .43 1964-1965 Suborbital
Saphir (2-stg) 13 15 .87 .82 1965-1967 Suborbital
Diamant (3-stg) 9 12 .75 .71 1965-1975
(EMERAUDE TOTALS 24 32 .75 .74)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Energia 1 2 .50 .50 1987-1988
Falcon 1 (SpaceX) 2 5 .40 .43 2006- Active
H-1 (NASDA) (See Thor)
H-2(S)(NASDA) 5 7 .71 .67 1994-1999
H-2A-202 5 5 1.00 .86 2001- Active
H-2A-2022 3 3 1.00 .80 2005- Active
H-2A-2024 6 7 .86 .78 2002- Active
H-2A-204 1 1 1.00 .67 2006- Active
(H-2A TOTAL (JAXA) 15 16 .93 .88)
(ALL H-2(A) 20 23 .86 .83)
H-2B-304 (JAXA) 1 1 1.00 .67 2009- Active
Jupiter IRBM 28 36 .78 .76 1957-1962 Suborbital
Jupiter Juno 2 4 10 .40 .42 1958-1961
(ALL JUPITER 32 46 .70 .69)
L4/M4 (ISAS) 4 9 .44 .45 1966-1972
M3 (ISAS) 17 19 .90 .86 1974-1995
M5 (ISAS) 6 7 .86 .78 1997-2006
Minuteman 1A 73 82 .89 .88 1959-1966 Suborbital
Minuteman 1B 289 298 .97 .97 1962-1993 Suborbital
Minuteman 2 185 187 .99 .98 1964-2001 Suborbital
Minotaur 2 7 7 1.00 .89 2000- Suborbital
Minotaur 2+ 1 1 1.00 .67 2008- Suborbital
Minuteman 3 273 278 .98 .98 1968- Suborbital
M55E1/HOE 7 7 1.00 .89 1970-1984 Suborbital
Minotaur 1 8 8 1.00 .90 2000- Active
(M55 ORBITAL 8 8 1.00 .90)
(ALL M55 845 870 .97 .97)
N-1 (USSR) 0 4 .00 .17 1969-1972
NASDA N-1, N-2 (See Thor)
Pegasus 1Stg-Suborb 2 3 .67 .60 2001-2004
Pegasus 4 6 .67 .63 1990-1994
Pegasus H 4 4 1.00 .83 1995-2000
Pegasus XL 27 30 .90 .88 1994- Active
OBV (3-stg Suborb) 7 7 1.00 .89 2003- Active
(ALL PEGASUS ORB 35 40 .88 .86)
(ALL PEGASUS 44 50 .88 .87)
Proton (2-stg) 3 4 .75 .67 1965-1966
Proton K (3-stg) 27 30 .90 .88 1967- Active
Proton K/D 24 39 .62 .61 1967-1975
Proton K/DM 60 66 .91 .90 1974-1990
Proton K/D-1 11 11 1.00 .92 1976-1989
Proton K/D-2 3 4 .75 .67 1988-1996
Proton K/DM-2 100 108 .93 .92 1982- Active
Proton K/DM-2M 40 42 .95 .93 1994-2006
Proton K/17S40 6 6 1.00 .88 1997- Active
Proton K/Briz M 3 4 .75 .67 1999-2003
Proton M/Briz M 31 34 .91 .89 2001- Active
Proton M/DM-2 4 4 1.00 .83 2007- Active
(ALL PROTON 311 351 .89 .88)
R-7 (Semyorka) Variants
------------------------------------------------------------------------
R-7(A) 40 52 .77 .76 1957-1967 Suborbital
Sputnik 5 6 .83 .75 1957-1964
Molniya 2 2 1.00 .75 1960-1960 Suborbital
Molniya 9 20 .45 .45 1960-1965
Molniya L 1 4 .25 .33 1963-1965
Molniya M 276 295 .94 .93 1963-2008
(MOLNIYA ORBITAL 286 319 .90 .89)
(ALL MOLNIYA 288 321 .90 .89)
Soyuz Variants
11A510 2 2 1.00 .75 1965-1966
11A511 Soyuz * 29 31 .93 .91 1966-1976
11A511L 3 3 1.00 .80 1970-1971
11A511M 8 8 1.00 .90 1971-1976
11A511U 589 608 .97 .97 1973- Active
11A511U Soyuz ** 52 53 .98 .96 1974-2002
11A511U Progress 86 86 1.00 .99 1978- Active
11A511U Ikar 6 6 1.00 .88 1999-1999
11A511U Fregat 4 4 1.00 .83 2000-2000
11A511U2 8 8 1.00 .90 1982-1994
11A511U2 Soyuz *** 26 26 1.00 .96 1985-1995
11A511U2 Progress 37 37 1.00 .97 1984-1993
11A511FG Progress 3 3 1.00 .80 2001- Active
11A511FG Soyuz + 17 17 1.00 .95 2002- Active
11A511FG Fregat 9 9 1.00 .91 2003- Active
14A14 2-1A 1 1 1.00 .67 2004 Suborbital
14A14 2-1A Fregat 2 3 .67 .60 2006- Active
14A14 2-1B 1 1 1.00 .67 2008- Active
14A14 2-1B Fregat 2 2 1.00 .75 2006- Active
(SOYUZ ORBITAL 884 907 .97 .97)
(ALL SOYUZ 885 908 .97 .97)
* 17/18 Crewed Soyuz, 12/13 Uncrewed Soyuz
** 42/43 Crewed Soyuz, 10/10 Uncrewed Soyuz
***25/25 Crewed Soyuz, 1/1 Uncrewed Soyuz
+ 17/17 Crewed Soyuz
Voskhod 11A57 282 295 .96 .95 1963-1976
Voskhod 11A57 *** 5 5 1.00 .86 1964-1966
(ALL VOSKHOD 287 300 .96 .95)
*** 2/2 Crewed Voskhod, 3/3 Uncrewed Voskhod
Vostok-L 8K72 3 9 .33 .36 1958-1960
Vostok 8K72 # 3 4 .75 .67 1960-1960
Vostok 8K72K ## 11 13 .85 .80 1960-1963
Vostok 8A92 40 45 .89 .87 1962-1967
Vostok 8A92M 92 94 .98 .97 1967-1991
(ALL VOSTOK 149 165 .90 .90)
# 3/4 Uncrewed Vostok
## 2/3 Uncrewed Vostok, 6/6 Crewed Vostok
(ALL R-7 ORBITAL 1611 1697 .95 .95)
(ALL R-7 1654 1752 .94 .94)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
R-12 Based Launchers
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
R-12 IRBM 13 14 .93 .88 1957-1969 Suborbital
Kosmos 2 (R-12) 26 38 .68 .68 1961-1967
Kosmos 2M (R-12) 118 126 .94 .93 1967-1977
(R-12 ORBITAL 144 164 .88 .87)
(R-12 TOTAL 157 178 .88 .88)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
R-14 Based Launchers
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
R-14 IRBM 75 82 .91 .90 1960-1965 Suborbital
K65M-R UUU 326 .UU .UU 1973- Suborbital
K65M-RB 6 6 1.00 .88 1980-1988 Suborbital
K65M-RB 4 4 1.00 .83 1982-1984
K65UP Vertikal' UUU 25 .UU .UU 1973-1983 Suborbital
Kosmos 3 (R-14) 2 2 1.00 .75 1967-1968 Suborbital
Kosmos 3 (R-14) 9 12 .75 .71 1964-1968
Kosmos 3M 422 445 .95 .95 1967-2009
(R-14 ORBITAL 434 460 .94 .94)
(R-14 TOTAL UUU 901 .UU .UU)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
R-29 (SLBM)-Based Launchers
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
R-29 Vysota SLBM 30* 30* UUUU UUU 1969-1997 Suborbital
R-29R Volna SLBM 35* 35* UUUU UUU 1975- Suborbital
R-29R Volna Orbit 0 1 0.00 .33 2005- Active
R-29RM Shitl SLBM 23* 23* UUUU UUU 1983- Suborbital
R-29RM Shtil Orbit 2 2 1.00 .75 1998- Active
R-29RMU Sineva SLBM 7 8 0.88 .80 2004- Suborbital
(R-29 ORBITAL 2 3 0.67 .60)
(R-29 TOTAL UUU UUU .UU .UU)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
*Partial Data
R-36(M)-Based Launchers
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
R-36 ICBM 131 149 .88 .87 1963-1975 Suborbital
Tsyklon R-36-0 22 23 .96 .92 1965-1971
Tsyklon 2A 6 8 .75 .70 1967-1969
Tsyklon 2 (Test) 1 1 1.00 .67 1969-1969 Suborbital
Tsyklon 2 104 105 .99 .98 1969-2006
Tsyklon 3 114 122 .93 .93 1977-2009
R-36M(U)ICBM 133 145 .90 .90 1971-1997 Suborbital
Dnepr 1 (R-36MU) 12 13 .92 .87 1999- Active
R-36M2 ICBM 31 37 .84 .82 1986- Suborbital
(R-36(M) ORBITAL 256 269 .95 .95)
(R-36(M) TOTAL 551 600 .92 .92)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Redstone IRBM 55 75 .73 .73 1953-1965 Suborbital
Redstone Sparta 8 9 .89 .82 1966-1967 Suborbital
Redstone Sparta Sat 1 1 1.00 .67 1967-1967
Redstone Jupiter-C 2 3 .67 .60 1956-1957 Suborbital
Redstone Juno 1 2 6 .33 .38 1958-1958
Redstone (MR) 4 6 .67 .63 1960-1961 Suborbital
(REDSTONE SPACE 7 13 .54 .53)
(ALL REDSTONE 72 100 .72 .72)
Safir (Iran) 1 2 .50 .50 2008-
Saturn 1 Blk 1 4 4 1.00 .83 1961-1963 Suborbital
Saturn 1 Blk 2 6 6 1.00 .88 1964-1965
Saturn 1B 2 2 1.00 .75 1966-1966 Suborbital
Saturn 1B Apollo 7 7 1.00 .89 1966-1975
Saturn 5 12 13 .92 .87 1967-1973
Scout Suborbital
Blue Scout 3 5 .60 .57 1960-1962
Scout X1-X2 4 6 .67 .63 1960-1962
Scout X3-X5 7 8 .88 .80 1962-1968
Scout A-B 5 5 1.00 .86 1967-1971
Scout D 1 1 1.00 .67 1976-1976
(ALL SCOUT SUBORB 20 25 .80 .78)
Scout Orbital
Blue Scout 0 1 .00 .33 1961-1961
Scout X1-X2 2 9 .22 .27 1960-1963
Scout X3-X5 16 18 .89 .85 1962-1968
Scout A-B 33 37 .89 .87 1965-1976
Scout D-G 33 35 .94 .92 1972-1994
(ALL SCOUT ORBIT 84 100 .84 .83)
(ALL SCOUT TOTAL 104 125 .83 .83)
Shavit 5 8 .63 .60 1988- Active
SLV-3 1 3 .33 .40 1979-1983
ASLV 1 4 .25 .33 1987-1994
PSLV 9 11 .82 .77 1993- Active
PSLV-CA 4 4 1.00 .83 2008- Active
PSLV-XL 1 1 1.00 .67 2008- Active
GSLV 2 5 .40 .43 2001- Active
Space Shuttle 126 129 .98 .97 1981- Active
Taepo Dong 2 (Unha) 0 2 .00 .25 2006-
Taurus (Darpa) 3 3 1.00 .80 1994-2000
Taurus-120 3 5 .60 .57 1998- Active
(ALL TAURUS 6 8 .75 .70)
Thor-Based Launchers
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
Thor IRBM 56 71 .79 .78 1957-1962 Suborbital
Thor Sub. Test 28 34 .82 .81 1962-1975 Suborbital
Thor Able 7 9 .78 .73 1956-1959 Suborbital
Thor Able 4 7 .57 .56 1958-1960 Orbital
Thor Able Star 13 19 .68 .67 1960-1965
Thor Agena A 8 15 .53 .53 1959-1960
Thor Agena B 35 43 .81 .80 1960-1965
TA-Thor Agena B 2 2 1.00 .75 1963-1966
Thor Agena D 17 21 .81 .78 1962-1965
TA-Thor Agena D 57 61 .93 .92 1963-1968
Thorad Agena D 41 43 .95 .93 1966-1972
Thor Burner 1 5 6 .83 .75 1965-1966
Thor Burner 2 19 20 .95 .91 1966-1976
Thor DSV2U 4 5 .80 .71 1976-1979
(THOR ORBITAL 205 242 .85 .84)
(ALL THOR 296 356 .83 .83)
Delta Variants
Delta 61 65 .94 .93 1960-1972
Delta LT 24 28 .86 .83 1968-1973
Delta ELT 89 93 .96 .95 1972-1990
Delta 2 XLT 145 147 .99 .98 1989- Active
Delta 3 1 3 .33 .40 1998-2000
(ALL DELTA 320 336 .95 .95)
NASDA-Liscensed Thor-Based
N-1 (NASDA) 6 7 .86 .78 1975-1982
N-2 (NASDA) 8 8 1.00 .90 1981-1987
H-1 (NASDA) 9 9 1.00 .91 1986-1992
THOR-BASED GRAND TOTALS
(ALL THOR ORBITAL 548 602 .91 .91)
(ALL THOR 639 715 .89 .89)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Titan-Based Launchers
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Titan 1 ICBM 44 67 .66 .65 1959-1965 SEE NOTE 2
Titan 2 ICBM 65 81 .81 .80 1962-1976
Titan 2 Gemini 12 12 1.00 .93 1964-1966
Titan 23G/(Star) 12 13 .92 .87 1988-2003
Titan 3A 3 4 .75 .67 1964-1965
Titan 3B Agena D 63 68 .93 .91 1966-1987
Titan 3C 30 36 .81 .79 1965-1982
Titan 3D 22 22 1.00 .96 1971-1982
Titan 3E Centaur 6 7 .86 .78 1974-1977
Titan 34D TS/IUS 6 8 .75 .70 1982-1989
Titan 34D 2.5 stg 6 7 .86 .78 1983-1988
Titan 3 Commercial 3 4 .75 .67 1990-1992
Titan 4A IUS 3 3 1.00 .80 1989-1994
Titan 4A 2.5 stg 9 10 .90 .83 1990-1997
Titan 4A Centaur 8 9 .89 .81 1994-1998
Titan 4B 2.5 stg 5 5 1.00 .86 1999-2005
Titan 4B IUS 4 5 .80 .71 1997-2004
Titan 4B Centaur 6 7 .86 .78 1997-2003
(ALL TITAN SPACE 197 219 .90 .90)
(ALL TITAN 307 368 .83 .83) SEE NOTE 2
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
RT-2PM (Topol') Based Launchers
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Topol' ICBM 85 87 .98 .97 1982- Suborbital
Topol'-M ICBM 18 19 .95 .90 1994- Suborbital
Topol'-M MIRV(RS24) 3 3 1.00 .80 2007- Suborbital
Bulava SLBM 4 12 .33 .36 2005- Suborbital
Start (5-stg) 0 1 .00 .33 1995-1995
Start-1 (4-stg) 6 6 1.00 .88 1993-2006
(ALL TOPOL' ORBIT 6 7 .86 .78)
(ALL TOPOL' 116 128 .91 .90)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
UR-100N (RS-18/SS-19) Based Launchers
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
UR-100N ICBM 143 156 .92 .91 1972- Suborbital
Rokot Breeze K 2 2 1.00 .75 1990-1991 Suborbital
Rokot Breeze K 1 1 1.00 .67 1994-1994
Rokot Breeze KM 11 12 .92 .86 2000- Active
Strela (RS-18 Orb) 1 1 1.00 .67 2003-2003
(UR-100N ORB TOTAL 10 11 .91 .85)
(UR-100N TOTAL 158 172 .92 .91)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Vanguard 3 3 1.00 .80 1956-1957 Suborbital
Vanguard 3 11 .27 .31 1957-1959 Orbital
VLS 0 2 .00 .25 1997- Active
Zenit 2 28 36 .78 .76 1985-2004
Zenit 2M 1 1 1.00 .67 2007- Active
Zenit 3SL 27 30 .90 .88 1999- Active
Zenit 3SLB 3 4 .75 .67 2008- Active
(ALL ZENIT 59 71 .83 .82)
===============================================================
* First level Bayesian estimate of mean predicted probability
of success for next launch attempt (k+1)/(n+2) where k is the
number of successful events and n is the number of trials.
NOTE 1: Does not include one Atlas-Able destroyed on Cape
pad LC 12 during static engine test on 9/24/1959. This Atlas
(9C) was not actually "launched", and is not included in most
historical Atlas launch summaries.
NOTE 2: Does not include one Titan 1 (V-2) destroyed during
launch rehearsal in Vandenberg Operational Suitability
Test Facility (OSTF) on 12/3/1960. Cause was failed
control valve in silo launch platform hydraulic elevator
system. This Titan was not launched and is not included
in most Titan launch summaries.
|