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2021 Space Launch Report

Updated September 20,  2021

2021 Launch Vehicle Standings
2021 Launch Site/Country Standings
Launch Vehicle by Success Rate
2021 Orbital Launch Log
2021 Suborbital Launch Log
Space Launch Forecast

F9-105 flew first in 2021, orbiting Turksat 5A from Cape Canaveral on January 8.    


2021 LAUNCH STATS
========================================================
             SPACE LAUNCH REPORT

       2021 LAUNCH VEHICLE/SITE STATISTICS
========================================================
       by Ed Kyle      as of September 20, 2021
========================================================

    YEAR TO DATE ORBITAL LAUNCH VEHICLE SUMMARY

Calendar year launch vehicle results, ranked by number 
of successes, with launch total as the first tiebreaker 
and vehicle payload mass as the second tiebreaker.  
Low Earth Orbit (LEO) missions have orbital periods 
less than 2 hours. Deep Space missions include 
heliocentric, planetocentric, and solar system escape 
trajectories.

=========================================================    
Vehicle            Overall           By Orbit Type
                   Launches      Earth-Orbit Earth-Escape
                  (Failures)      LEO   >LEO  Deep Space
=========================================================
CZ (DF-5)            25(0)      20(0)    5(0)    -
Falcon 9 v1.2        23(0)      20(0)    3(0)    -
R7                   13(0)      12(0)    1(0)    -
Electron              4(1)       4(1)     -      -
CZ-7(A)               3(0)       2(0)    1(0)    -
CZ-6                  3(0)       3(0)     -      -
Antares 230+          2(0)       2(0)     -      -
Vega                  2(0)       2(0)     -      -
LauncherOne           2(0)       2(0)     -      -
Ariane 5 ECA+         1(0)        -      1(0)    -
CZ-5(B)               1(0)       1(0)     -      -
Delta 4 Heavy         1(0)       1(0)     -      -
Proton M              1(0)       1(0)     -      -
Atlas 5               1(0)        -      1(0)    -
PSLV                  1(0)       1(0)     -      -
Soyuz 2-1v            1(0)       1(0)     -      -
Minotaur 1            1(0)       1(0)     -      -
Pegasus XL            1(0)       1(0)     -      -
GSLV Mk2              1(1)        -      1(1)    -
Alpha                 1(1)       1(1)     -      -
Astra Rocket 3.3      1(1)       1(1)     -      -
SQX-1                 2(2)       2(2)     -      -                    
---------------------------------------------------------
Total                91(6)      78(5)   13(1)    -

Antares Details
------------------------------------------------------------
Antares 230+          2(0)        2(0)    -      -
------------------------------------------------------------

Ariane 5 Details
------------------------------------------------------------
Ariane 5ECA(+)        1(0)         -     1(0)    -     
------------------------------------------------------------

Atlas 5 Details
-----------------------------------------------------------
Atlas 5-401            -           -      -      - 
Atlas 5-411            -           -      -      -
Atlas 5-421           1(0)         -     1(0)    -
Atlas 5-431            -           -      -      -
Atlas 5-501            -           -      -      -  
Atlas 5-531            -           -      -      -
Atlas 5-541            -           -      -      -
Atlas 5-551            -           -      -      - 
Atlas 5-N22            -           -      -      -
-----------------------------------------------------------

Chang Zheng (Long March) Details
------------------------------------------------------------
CZ-2C(/SMA/YZ-1S)     4(0)        4(0)    -      - 
CZ-2D                 3(0)        3(0)    -      - 
CZ-2D/YZ-3             -           -      -      -
CZ-2FG (M)            1(0)        1(0)    -      -
CZ-3A                  -           -      -      -
CZ-3B(/E)             5(0)         -     5(0)    -
CZ-3B/YZ-1             -           -      -      -
CZ-3C(/E)             2(0)         -     2(0)    -
CZ-3C/YZ-1             -           -      -      -
CZ-4B                 3(0)        3(0)    -      -
CZ-4C                 7(0)        7(0)    -      -

CZ-5                   -           -      -      -
CZ-5B                 1(0)        1(0)    -      -
CZ-6                  3(0)        3(0)    -      - 
CZ-7                  2(0)        2(0)    -      -
CZ-7A                 1(0)         -     1(0)    -
CZ-8                   -           -      -      -

CZ-11                  -           -      -      - 
------------------------------------------------------------

Delta 4 Details
------------------------------------------------------------
Delta 4H              1(0)        1(0)    -      -
------------------------------------------------------------

Electron Details
-------------------------------------------------------------
Electron               -           -      -      -
Electron/Curie        4(1)        4(1)    -      -
-------------------------------------------------------------


Falcon 9/Falcon Heavy Details
------------------------------------------------------------
Falcon 9 v1.2        20(0)       17(0)   3(0)    -
Falcon 9 v1.2 Crew    2(0)        2(0)    -      -
Falcon 9 v1.2(S1loss) 1(0)        1(0)    -      -
Falcon 9 v1.2(expend)  -           -      -      -
Falcon Heavy           -           -      -      -
------------------------------------------------------------

H-2A/B Details
-------------------------------------------------------------
H-2A/202               -           -      -      -
H-2A/204               -           -      -      -
-------------------------------------------------------------

Proton Details
------------------------------------------------------------
Proton-M              1(0)        1(0)    -      -
Proton-M/Briz-M        -           -      -      -
Proton-K/DM-2          -           -      -      -  
Proton-M/DM-03         -           -      -      -
-------------------------------------------------------------

PSLV Details
------------------------------------------------------------
PSLV-G                 -           -      -      -     
PSLV-CA (Core Alone)   -           -      -      - 
PSLV-DL               1(0)        1(0)    -      - 
PSLV-QL                -           -      -      - 
PSLV-XL                -           -      -      - 
-------------------------------------------------------------

Soyuz/Molniya (R-7) Details 
-------------------------------------------------------------
Soyuz-2-1a             -           -      -      -  
Soyuz-2-1a(Progress)  2(0)        2(0)    -      - 
Soyuz-2-1a(Soyuz)     1(0)        1(0)    -      -
Soyuz-2-1a/Fregat     1(0)        1(0)    -      - 
Soyuz-2-1a/Volga       -           -      -      -  
Soyuz-2-1b            2(0)        2(0)    -      -   
Soyuz-2-1b/Fregat     6(0)        5(0)   1(0)    -

NK-33A Powered
Soyuz 2-1v/Volga       -           -      -      -
Soyuz 2-1v            1(0)        1(0)    -      -
------------------------------------------------------------


Launch Vehicle Site Summary 

=========================================================

      YEAR TO DATE ORBITAL LAUNCH SITE SUMMARY

Launch sites, ranked by number of year-to-date orbital 
launch attempts.

=========================================================
Site                           Overall    
                               Launches    
                              (Failures)   
=========================================================
Cape Canaveral, Florida         14(0)
Jiuquan, China                  12(2)
XiChang, China                  10(0)
Kennedy Space Center, FL         9(0)
Taiyuan, China                   8(0)
Baikonur, Kazakhstan             8(0)
Wenchang, China                  4(0)
Vostochny, Russia                4(0)
Vandenberg, California           4(1)
Mahia, New Zealand               4(1)
Kourou, French Guyana            3(0)
Plesetsk, Russia                 3(0)
Wallops Island, Virgina          3(0)
Mojave Space Port, CA            2(0)
Sriharikota, India               2(1)
Kodiak LC, Alaska                1(1)
Tanegashima, Japan                -
Yellow Sea Platform, China        -
Palmachim, Israel                 -
Shahrud, Iran                     -
Semnam, Iran                      -
Kagoshima, Japan                  -
Sohae, North Korea                -
Naro Space Center, South Korea    -
Kwajalein, RMI                    -
=========================================================


Launch Total by Country of First or Core Stage Manufacture
ranked by number of year-to-date orbital successes.
==========================================================    
Vehicle            Overall           By Orbit Type
                   Launches      Earth-Orbit Earth-Escape
                  (Failures)      LEO   >LEO  Deep Space
==========================================================
China                34(2)       27(2)   7(0)    -
United States        31(2)       27(2)   4(0)    - 
Russia               15(0)       14(0)   1(0)    - 
New Zealand           4(1)        4(1)    -      -
Europe                3(0)        2(0)   1(0)    - 
Ukraine               2(0)        2(0)    -      -
India                 2(1)        1(0)   1(1)    -
Japan                  -           -      -      -
Iran                   -           -      -      - 
Israel                 -           -      -      - 
North Korea            -           -      -      -
==========================================================


Launch Total by Country of Upper Stage Manufacture
ranked by number of year-to-date orbital successes.
==========================================================    
Vehicle            Overall           By Orbit Type
                   Launches      Earth-Orbit Earth-Escape
                  (Failures)      LEO   >LEO  Deep Space
========================================================== 
China                34(2)       27(2)   7(0)    -
United States        33(2)       29(2)   4(0)    -
Russia               15(0)       14(0)   1(0)    - 
New Zealand           4(1)        4(1)    -      -
Europe                3(0)        2(0)   1(0)    -
India                 2(1)        1(0)   1(1)    -
Japan                  -           -      -      - 
Ukraine                -           -      -      -
Iran                   -           -      -      - 
Israel                 -           -      -      - 
North Korea            -           -      -      -
==========================================================

                
   
     
 

Launch Vehicle by Success Rate 

                
================================================================
                    SPACE LAUNCH REPORT

        ACTIVE LAUNCH VEHICLE RELIABILITY STATISTICS
================================================================
           by Ed Kyle      as of September 20, 2021      
================================================================
Top active space launch vehicles ranked by Lewis point estimate 
of their orbital success rate*.  Failures include incorrect 
orbits.
================================================================ 
                           Lewis 
                Successes  Point AdjWald   Consc. Last    Dates 
Vehicle         /Attempts  Est*  95%CI*    Succes Fail    
================================================================
Falcon 9 v1.2    105/105(D)0.99  0.96-1.00 105   None     2015-
Atlas 5           86/87    0.98  0.93-1.00  77   06/15/07 2002-
CZ-2D             53/54    0.96  0.89-1.00  22   12/28/16 1992-
Ariane 5-ECA(+)   75/77    0.96  0.90-1.00  12   01/25/18 2002-
H-2A              42/43    0.96  0.87-1.00  37   11/29/03 2001-
CZ-2(C)(/SD/SM/YZ)60/62    0.95  0.88-1.00  26   08/18/11 1974-
CZ-4(A/B/C)       78/81    0.95  0.89-0.99  20   05/22/19 1988-
CZ-3B/3C          92/96    0.95  0.89-0.99  12   04/09/20 1996-
CZ-2F(T/Y/G)      15/15    0.94  0.76-1.00  15   None     1999
Soyuz 2-1a/Fregat 26/27#   0.93  0.80-1.00  24   05/21/09 2006-
Soyuz 2-1b/Fregat 52/55    0.93  0.85-0.99  26   11/28/17 2006-
Minotaur 1        12/12    0.93  0.72-1.00  12   None     2000-
PSLV              50/53    0.93  0.84-0.99  12   08/31/17 1993-
Soyuz 2-1a        24/25#   0.93  0.79-1.00  18   04/28/15 2004-
Soyuz 2-1b        11/11    0.92  0.70-1.00  11   None     2008-
CZ-11             11/11    0.92  0.70-1.00  11   None     2015-
Antares 2xx       10/10    0.92  0.68-1.00  10   None     2016-
CZ-3/3A           37/40    0.90  0.79-0.98  27   08/18/96 1984-
Proton-M/Briz-M   90/99    0.90  0.83-0.95  17   10/21/14 2001-
Pegasus (H/XL)    40/45    0.89  0.76-0.96  31   11/04/96 1991-
Vega              16/18xx  0.89  0.66-0.98   2   11/17/20 2012-
CZ-6               7/7     0.89  0.60-1.00   7   None     2015-
Minotaur 4/5       6/6++   0.88  0.56-1.00   6   None     2010-
Delta 4 Heavy     12/13    0.87  0.65-1.00  12   12/21/04 2004-
Electron          18/21    0.86  0.65-0.96   1   05/15/21 2017-
Kuaizhou 1(A)     11/12    0.86  0.62-1.00   0   09/12/20 2013-
Epsilon            4/4     0.83  0.45-1.00   4   None     2013-
CZ-7               4/4     0.83  0.45-1.00   4   None     2016-
GSLV Mk3           3/3z    0.80  0.38-1.00   3   None     2017-
Falcon Heavy       3/3     0.80  0.38-1.00   3   None     2018-
Soyuz 2-1v/Volga   4/5     0.80  0.36-0.98   3   12/05/15 2013-
CZ-5               4/5     0.80  0.36-0.98   2   07/02/17 2016-
Shavit(-1,-2)      9/12    0.75  0.46-0.92   5   9/6/04   1988-
GSLV Mk2           6/8     0.75  0.40-0.94   0   08/12/21 2010-
Soyuz 2-1v         2/2     0.75  0.17-1.00   2   None     2018-
Angara A5          2/2     0.75  0.29-1.00   2   None     2014-
CZ-5B              2/2     0.75  0.29-1.00   2   None     2020-
Taurus (XL)        7/10    0.70  0.39-0.90   1   3/4/11   1994-
LauncherOne        2/3     0.67  0.20-0.94   2   05/25/20 2020-
Proton M           1/1     0.67  0.17-1.00   1   07/21/21 2021-
CZ-8               1/1     0.67  0.17-1.00   1   None     2020-
Soyuz 2-1a/Volga   1/1     0.67  0.17-1.00   1   None     2016-
KT-2               1/1     0.67  0.17-1.00   1   None     2017-
Jielong-1          1/1     0.67  0.17-1.00   1   None     2019-
Qased              1/1     0.67  0/17-1.00   1   None     2020-
Ceres-1            1/1     0.67  0/17-1.00   1   None     2020-
Proton-M/DM-03     3/5     0.60  0.23-0.88   3   07/02/13 2010-
Safir              5/9(C)  0.56  0.27-0.81   0   02/05/19 2008-
CZ-7A              1/2     0.50  0.09-0.91   1   03/16/20 2020-
SS-520             1/2     0.50  0.09-0.91   1   01/14/17 2017-
Unha (TD-2)        2/5%    0.44  0.12-0.77   2   04/12/12 2006-
SQX-1              1/3     0.43  0.06-0.80   0   08/03/21 2019-
KZ-11              0/1     0.40  0.00-0.83   0   07/10/20 2020-  
ZQ-1               0/1     0.40  0.00-0.83   0   10/27/18 2018-
OS-M               0/1     0.40  0.00-0.83   0   03/27/19 2019-
Alpha              0/1     0.40  0.00-0.83   0   09/03/21 2021-
Astra Rocket 3     0/3     0.28  0.00-0.62   0   08/28/21 2020-
Simorgh            0/3(E)  0.28  0.00-0.62   0   02/09/20 2017- 
================================================================
* Lewis Point Estimate Determined as Follows.
  
  Maximum Liklihood Estimate (MLE)= x/n 
      where x=success, n=tries
  For MLE<=0.5, use Wilson Method = (x+2)/(n+4)
  For MLE Between 0.5 and 0.9, use MLE = x/n
  For MLE>=0.9, use Laplace Method = (x+1)/(n+2)
 
  Lewis, J. & Lauro, J., "Improving the Accuracy of Small-Sample 
   Estimates of Completion Rates", Journal of Usability Studies, 
   Issue 3, Vol. 1, May 2006, pp. 136-150.

* Adjusted-Wald 95% Confidence Interval Range Determined 
     as Follows.

     Pw = (x+1.9208)/(n+3.8416)

     CI = Pw +/- 1.96*sqrt[(Pw*(1-Pw))/(n+3.8416)]  
          (maximum range 1.00)
    
# Does not include one successful suborbital Soyuz 2-1a test 
   flight performed in 2004.

++Does not include two successful suborbital Minotaur 4 Lite 
   flights in 2010-11.

x Does not include Soyuz-U/Soyuz T-10-1 pre-launch fire that 
   resulted in escape tower firing saving crew, but destroying 
   launch vehicle on 9-26-1983.  Note that 10 additional 
   Soyuz-U launches with Ikar or Fregat upper stages (all 
   successful) are cataloged separately.

xx Does not include successful 2-11-15 suborbital flight with 
    IXV reentry demonstrator.

% Includes 2006 failure thought to be a two-stage suborbital 
   test launch attempt.

z Does not include successful inaugural suborbital test flight 
    on 12-18-14.

(C) Assumes that two unsuccessful, unreported Safir launch 
     attempts occurred during 2012 and one during 2019.
     Does not count 2019 prelaunch propellant loading explosion. 
 
(D) Does not include 09/01/16 explosion that destroyed F9-29 
     and AMOS 6 payload during propellant loading for prelaunch 
     hot fire test at CC 40 two days before planned launch.      
(D) Does not include successful 01/19/20 suborbital IFA Crew 
     Dragon launch by F9-80.  

(E) Assumes 7/27/17 launch was a failed orbital attempt and 
     that 4/19/16 launch was a suborbital test flight.
     
     
===============================================================
                    SPACE LAUNCH REPORT

        RETIRED LAUNCH VEHICLE RELIABILITY STATISTICS
================================================================
           by Ed Kyle      
================================================================
Space launch vehicles retired since ~1980 ranked by their 
predicted orbital success rate*.  Failures include incorrect 
orbits.

            Ranked by Lewis Point Estimate
================================================================ 
                        Lewis 
              Successes Point  AdjWald  Consc. Last    Dates 
Vehicle       /Attempts Est*   95%CI*   Succes Fail    
================================================================
Atlas 2/2AS     63/63   0.98  0.93-1.00  63   None     1991-2004
Tsyklon 2      104/105  0.98  0.94-1.00  92   04/25/73 1967-2006
Delta 2        153/155  0.98  0.95-1.00 100   01/17/97 1989-2018
Soyuz-U        755/776x 0.97  0.96-0.98   1   12/01/16 1973-2017
STS            132/135  0.97  0.93-1.00  22(A)02/01/03 1981-2011
Soyuz-FG        59/60   0.97  0.90-1.00   5   10/11/18 2001-2019
Delta 4M(+)     29/29   0.97  0.86-1.00  29   None     2002-2019
Ariane 4       113/116  0.97  0.92-0.99  74   12/11/94 1988-2003
Delta ELT       89/93   0.95  0.89-0.99   8   05/03/86 1972-1990
Titan 2         17/17#  0.95  0.78-1.00  17   None     1964-2003
Kosmos 3M      423/446  0.95  0.92-0.97  22   11/20/00 1964-2010
Molniya M      277/296  0.93  0.90-0.96   4   06/21/05 1963-2010
Proton-K/DM-2M  40/42   0.93  0.83-1.00   7   11/25/02 1994-2006
Tsyklon 3      114/122  0.93  0.87-0.97   1   12/24/04 1977-2009
Proton-K/DM-2  101/109  0.92  0.86-0.96  15   10/27/99 1982-2012
Scout D-G       33/35   0.92  0.80-0.99  23   12/06/75 1972-1994
Dnepr           21/22   0.92  0.76-1.00  15   07/26/06 1999-2015
Soyuz FG/Fregat 10/10   0.92  0.68-1.00  10   None     2003-2012
Rokot/Briz/K(M) 30/32   0.91  0.79-0.99  16   02/01/11 1994-2019
H-2B             9/9    0.91  0.66-1.00   9   None     2009-2020
H-1              9/9    0.91  0.66-1.00   9   None     1986-1992
Ariane 5ES       8/8    0.90  0.63-1.00   8   None     2008-2018
Proton-K        26/29+  0.90  0.73-0.97   9   11/29/86 1968-2000
M-3             17/19   0.89  0.67-0.98   0   01/15/95 1974-1995
Zenit 3SL/DMSL  32/36   0.89  0.74-0.96   1   02/01/13 1999-2014
Falcon 9 v1.1   14/15   0.88  0.68-1.00   1   06/28/15 2013-2016
Titan 4B        15/17   0.88  0.64-0.98  12   04/30/99 1997-2005
Atlas E SUS     21/23   0.88  0.72-0.99  21   12/19/81 1980-1995
Ariane 5G(+,S)  22/25   0.88  0.68-0.97  15   07/12/01 1996-2009
Titan 4A        20/22   0.88  0.71-0.99   0   08/12/98 1989-1998
Atlas 3(A/B)     6/6    0.88  0.56-1.00   6   None     2000-2005
Soyuz-U/Ikar     6/6    0.88  0.56-1.00   6   None     1999-1999
Proton-M/DM-2    6/6    0.88  0.56-1.00   6   None     2007-2010
Proton-K/17S40   6/6    0.88  0.56-1.00   6   None     1997-2002
Atlas H SUS      5/5    0.86  0.51-1.00   5   None     1983-1987
Titan 2(Star)    6/7%   0.86  0.47-0.99   6   10/5/93  1964-2003
M-5              6/7    0.86  0.47-0.99   4   02/10/00 1997-2006
START(-1)        6/7    0.86  0.47-0.99   5   03/28/95 1993-2006
Zenit 3F/FregSB  4/4    0.83  0.45-1.00   4   None     2011-2017
Soyuz-U/Fregat   4/4    0.83  0.45-1.00   4   None     2000-2000
Zenit 3SLB/DMSLB 5/6    0.83  0.42-0.99   5(B)04/28/08 2008-2015
Titan 34D       12/15   0.80  0.54-0.94   3   09/02/88 1982-1989
Falcon 9 v1.0    4/5    0.80  0.36-0.98   1   10/08/12 2010-2013
Antares 1xx      4/5    0.80  0.36-0.98   0   10/28/14 2013-2014
Strela           3/3    0.80  0.38-1.00   3   None     2003-2019
Zenit 2(M/SB)   30/38   0.79  0.63-0.89   7   09/09/98 1985-2015
Shitl'           2/2    0.75  0.29-1.00   2   None     1998-2006
Proton-K/Briz-M  3/4    0.75  0.29-0.97   3   07/05/99 1999-2003
Titan 3 Comm.    3/4    0.75  0.29-0.97   2   03/14/90 1990-1992
Athena 1         3/4    0.75  0.29-0.97   3   08/15/95 1995-2001
Atlas G/Centaur 13/18   0.72  0.49-0.88   4   03/25/93 1984-1997
H-2              5/7    0.71  0.35-0.92   0   11/15/99 1994-1999
Athena 2         2/3    0.67  0.29-0.94   1   04/27/99 1998-1999
Falcon 1         2/5    0.44  0.12-0.77   2   08/03/08 2006-2009
KSLV-1 (Angara)  1/3    0.43  0.06-0.80   1   06/10/10 2009-2013
Delta 3          1/3    0.43  0.06-0.80   1   05/05/99 1998-2000
GSLV Mk1         2/6    0.40  0.09-0.70   0   12/25/10 2001-2010
Super Strypi     0/1    0.40  0.00-0.83   0   11/04/15 2015-2015
Volna            0/1    0.40  0.00-0.83   0   06/21/05 2005-2005
Conestoga        0/1    0.40  0.00-0.83   0   10/23/95 1995-1995
VLS-1            0/2    0.33  0.00-0.71   0(E)12/11/99 1997-1999
================================================================ 
* Lewis Point Estimate Determined as Follows.
  
  Maximum Liklihood Estimate (MLE)= x/n 
      where x=success, n=tries
  For MLE<=0.5, use Wilson Method = (x+2)/(n+4)
  For MLE between 0.5 and 0.9, use MLE = x/n
  For MLE>=0.9, use Laplace Method = (x+1)/(n+2)
 
  Lewis, J. & Lauro, J., "Improving the Accuracy of Small-Sample 
   Estimates of Completion Rates", Journal of Usability Studies, 
   Issue 3, Vol. 1, May 2006, pp. 136-150.

* Adjusted-Wald 95% Confidence Interval Range Determined 
     as Follows.

     Pw = (x+1.9208)/(n+3.8416)

     CI = Pw +/- 1.96*sqrt[(Pw*(1-Pw))/(n+3.8416)]  
          (maximum range 1.00)

# Includes 11 orbital Gemini Titan 2 and 6 Titan 23G missions.

% Seven Titan 23G flights that flew suborbital profiles with 
  Star 37 solid rocket motors providing the final orbital 
  velocity increment.  The single failure listed here involved 
  the Star 37 stage. 
 
+ Does not include one successful suborbital Proton-K test 
   flight performed in 1970.

 x Does not include Soyuz-U/Soyuz T-10-1 pre-launch fire that 
   resulted in escape tower firing saving crew, but destroying 
   launch vehicle on 9-26-1983.  Note that 10 additional 
   Soyuz-U launches with Ikar or Fregat upper stages (all 
   successful) are cataloged separately.
 
(A) 2003 STS-107 Columbia failure during reentry result of 
    damage suffered during launch phase.

(B) Amos-3 inserted in orbit with 1,500 km short perigee and 
    0.7 deg unplanned inclination.  Amos 3 reportedly lost two 
    to three years of 18 year design life.

(E) Does not include 08/22/03 pre-launch pad explosion that 
    killed 21 during T-3 day launch preps.

 2021 SPACE LAUNCH LOG

=========================================================================
                         SPACE LAUNCH REPORT

                 2021 ORBITAL/SUBORBITAL LAUNCH LOG
=========================================================================
                 by Ed Kyle      as of September 20, 2021    
=========================================================================

                YEAR TO DATE ORBITAL SPACE LAUNCH LOG

DATE     VEHICLE           ID      PAYLOAD                 MASS(t) SITE*     ORBIT**
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
01/08/21 Falcon 9 v1.2     F9-105  Turksat 5a               3.5    CC 40     GTO+
01/17/21 LauncherOne       02      Launch Demo 2 ELaNa-20   0.286  MO        LEO
01/19/21 CZ-3B/E           Y74     Tiantong 1-03                   XC 2      GTO
01/20/21 Electron          F18     OHB Cosmos                      MA 1      LEO
01/20/21 Falcon 9 v1.2     F9-106  Starlink 1-16           15.6    KC 39A    LEO
01/24/21 Falcon 9 v1.2     F9-107  Transporter 1           ~3.57   CC 40     LEO/S
01/29/21 CZ-4C             Y31     Yaogan 31-02                    JQ 43/94  LEO
02/01/21 SQX-1             F2      Test Flight                     JQ       [FTO][1]
02/02/21 Soyuz 2.1b        1924    Lotos S1 805             6.0    PL 43/4   LEO
02/04/21 Falcon 9 v1.2     F9-109  Starlink 1-18           15.6    CC 40     LEO
02/04/21 CZ-3B/E                   TJSW 6                  ~5.5    XC 3      GTO
02/15/21 Soyuz 2.1a        1925    Progress MS-16          ~7.4    TB 31/6   LEO/ISS
02/16/21 Falcon 9 v1.2     F9-110  Starlink 1-19           15.6    CC 40     LEO[2]
02/20/21 Antares 230+      A14     Cygnus NG-15             7.7    WI 0A     LEO/ISS
02/24/21 CZ-4C             Y32     Yaogan 31-03                    JQ 43/94  LEO
02/28/21 PSLV-DL           C51     Amazonia 1 + 18 usats   ~0.72   SR 1      LEO/S
02/28/21 Soyuz 2.1b/Fregat 1926    Arktika 1                2.1    TB 31/6   EEO/M 
03/04/21 Falcon 9 v1.2     F9-108  Starlink 1-17           15.6    KC 39A    LEO [3]
03/11/21 Falcon 9 v1.2     F9-111  Starlink 1-20           15.6    CC 40     LEO [4]
03/11/21 CZ-7A             Y2      XJY 6 2-02                      WC 201    GTO
03/13/21 CZ-4C             Y42     Yaogan 31-04                    JQ 43/94  LEO
03/14/21 Falcon 9 v1.2     F9-112  Starlink 1-21           15.6    KC 39A    LEO [5]
03/22/21 Soyuz 2.1a/Fregat 1927    CAS5000-1 Rideshare     ~1.2    TB 31/6   LEO/S
03/22/21 Electron/Curie    19      Global 9 + 5 nsats     ~0.09    MA 1      LEO [6] 
03/24/21 Falcon 9 v1.2     F9-113  Starlink 1-22           15.6    CC 40     LEO [7]
03/25/21 Soyuz 2.1b/Fregat ST30    OneWeb F5                5.310  VO 1S     LEO
03/30/21 CZ-4C             Y36     Gaofen 12-02                    JQ 43/94  LEO/S 
04/07/21 Falcon 9 v1.2     F9-114  Starlink 1-23           15.6    CC 40     LEO [8]
04/08/21 CZ-4B             Y49     Shiyan 6-03                     TY 9      LEO/ISS
04/09/21 Soyuz 2.1a        1929    Soyuz MS-18             ~7.2    TB 31/6   LEO/ISS
04/23/21 Falcon 9 v1.2     F9-115  Dragon 2/Crew 2        ~12.5    KC 39A    LEO/ISS
04/25/21 Soyuz 2.1b/Fregat ST31    OneWeb F6                5.310  VO 1S     LEO
04/26/21 Delta 4 Heavy     D386    NROL 82                ~17.0?   VA 6      LEO/S?
04/27/21 CZ-6              Y5      Qilu 1/4 + 7 usats              TY 16     LEO/S
04/29/21 Vega              VV18    Pleiades Neo 3           0.935  KO ZLV    LEO/S
04/29/21 CZ-5B             Y2      Tianhe                  22.5    WC 101    LEO  
04/29/21 Falcon 9 v1.2     F9-116  Starlink 1-24           15.6    CC 40     LEO 
04/30/21 CZ-4C             Y34     Yaogan 34                       JQ 43/94  LEO  
05/04/21 Falcon 9 v1.2     F9-117  Starlink 1-25           15.6    KC 39A    LEO 
05/06/21 CZ-2C             Y47     Yaogan 30-08                    XC 3      LEO
05/09/21 Falcon 9 v1.2     F9-118  Starlink 1-27           15.6    CC 40     LEO
05/15/21 Electron/Curie    20      2xBlackSky              ~0.12   MA 1     [FTO][9]
05/15/21 Falcon 9 v1.2     F9-119  Starlink 1-26          ~13.7    KC 39A    LEO 
05/18/21 Atlas 5-421       AV091   SBIRS-GEO 5              4.85   CC 41     GTO+
05/19/21 CZ-4B             Y48     Haiyang 2D               1.575  JQ 43/94  LEO
05/26/21 Falcon 9 v1.2     F9-120  Starlink 1-28           15.6    CC 40     LEO
05/28/21 Soyuz 2.1b/Fregat ST32    OneWeb F7                5.310  VO 1S     LEO 
05/29/21 CZ-7              Y3      Tianzhou 2              13.5    WC 201    LEO/CSS
06/02/21 CZ-3B/E                   Fengyun 4B               5.3    XC 2      GTO
06/03/21 Falcon 9 v1.2     F9-121  CRS-22/Cargo Dragon    ~12.5    KC 39A    LEO/ISS
06/06/21 Falcon 9 v1.2     F9-122  SXM-8                   ~7.0    CC 40     GTO-
06/11/21 CZ-2D             Y54     Beijing 3                       TY 9      LEO/S
06/13/21 Pegasus XL        F45     TacRL 2                         VA L1011  LEO/S
06/15/21 Minotaur 1        SLV12   NROL-111                        WI 0B     LEO
06/17/21 CZ-2F/G           Y       Shenzhou 12              8.082  JQ 43/91  LEO/CSS
06/17/21 Falcon 9 v1.2     F9-123  GPS 3-5                  4.311  CC 40     MTO
06/18/21 CZ-2C             Y48     Yaogan 30-09                    XC 3      LEO
06/25/21 Soyuz 2.1b        1932    Pion-NKS 901                    PL 43/4   LEO
06/29/21 Soyuz 2.1a        1933    Progress MS-17          ~7.4    TB 31/6   LEO/ISS
06/30/21 LauncherOne       03      7usats                          MO        LEO
06/30/21 Falcon 9 v1.2     F9-124  Transporter 2           ~2.4    CC 40     LEO/S
07/01/21 Soyuz 2.1b/Fregat ST33    OneWeb F8                5.310  VO 1S     LEO 
07/03/21 CZ-2D             Y74     4xJilin-1                       TY 9      LEO/S
07/04/21 CZ-4C             Y43     Fengyun 3E               2.25   JQ 43/91  LEO/S
07/06/21 CZ-3C/E                   Tianlian 1-5             2.46   XC 2      GTO
07/09/21 CZ-6              Y6      Ningxia 1-2                     TY 16     LEO
07/19/21 CZ-2C                     Yaogan 30-10                    XC 3      LEO
07/21/21 Proton M          53545   Nauka                   20.35   TB 200/39 LEO/ISS
07/29/21 CZ-2D             Y62     Tianhui 1-04                    JQ 43/94  LEO/S 
07/29/21 Electron/Curie    21      Monolith                        MA 1      LEO
07/30/21 Ariane 5 ECA+     VA254   Star 1-D2 /Eutlst Q.     9.651  KO 3      GTO
08/03/21 SQX-1             F3      Test Flight                     JQ       [FTO][10]
08/04/21 CZ-6              Y7      KL Beta (A,B)                   TY 16     LEO
08/05/21 CZ-3B/E           Y76     Zhongxing 2E            ~5.2    XC 2      GTO
08/10/21 Antares 230+      A15     Cygnus NG-16            ~7.615  WI 0A     LEO/ISS
08/12/21 GSLV Mk2+         F10     EOS 03                   2.286  SR 2     [FTO][11]
08/17/21 Vega              VV19    Pleiades Neo 4 +usats    0.938  KO ZLV    LEO/S
08/18/21 CZ-4B             Y50     Tianhui-2 02 A/B                TY 9      LEO/S
08/21/21 Soyuz 2.1b/Fregat ST34    OneWeb F9                5.015  TB 31/6   LEO/P
08/24/21 CZ-2C/YZ-1S       Y51/Y2  RSW 01/02                       JQ 43/94  LEO/S
08/24/21 CZ-3B/E           Y78     TJSW 7                  ~5.5    XC 3      GTO 
08/28/21 Rocket 3.3        0006    Orbital Test                    KD 3B    [FTO][12]
08/29/21 Falcon 9 v1.2     F9-125  CRS-23/Cargo Dragon    ~12.5    KC 39A    LEO/ISS 
09/03/21 Alpha             FLTA001 DREAM                   0.92115 VA 2W    [FTO][13] 
09/07/21 CZ-4C             Y40     Gaofen 5-02                     TY 9      LEO/S 
09/09/21 CZ-3B/E           Y86     Chinasat 9B             ~5.1    XC 2      GTO  
09/09/21 Soyuz 2-1v        007     Kosmos 2551 (Razbeg 1)          PL 43/4   LEO/S
09/14/21 Falcon 9 v1.2     F9-126  Starlink 2-1 (51ea)    ~13.26   VA 4E     LEO   
09/14/21 Soyuz 2.1b/Fregat ST35    OneWeb F10               5.015  TB 31/6   LEO/P 
09/16/21 Falcon 9 v1.2     F9-127  Inspiration 4          ~12.5    KC 39A    LEO [14] 
09/20/21 CZ-7              Y4      Tianzhou 3              13.5    WC 201    LEO/CSS    
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
[1] Disintegrated around time of Max-Q.
[2] First stage B1059.6 failed to land OCISLY.  One engine shut 
      down during ascent in final seconds due boot failure and 
      overheating.  Overheating affected entry burn, which ended 
      with the engine compartment on fire.
[3] First stage B1049.8 landed OCISLY.
[4] First stage B1058.6 landed JRTI
[5] First stage B1051.9 landed OCISLY.
[6] Curie stage operated as precursor Photon satellite after insertion mission.
[7] First stage B1060.6 landed OCISLY.
[8] First stage B1058.7 landed OCISLY.
[9] Stg 2 tumbled and shut down right after staging.  Stg 1 parachuted to ocean.
[10] PL fairing failed to separate correctly.
[11] CUS-15 third stage failed to ignite for first burn.  FTO.
[12] One first stage engine shut down at liftoff.  Possible launcher hang-up.  
      Vehicle flew for 2.5 minutes until flight terminated by commanded MECO.
[13] Control loss at about T+2.5 minutes.  Underperforming prior to loss.
[14] First all-private, non-NASA U.S. crewed orbital mission.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 ==================================================================================

2021 Major Suborbital Log 

         
      2021 MAJOR SUBORBITAL LAUNCH LOG 
      Suborbital Launches Using Booster Hardware Also Used 
      for Orbital Launches
==================================================================================

DATE     VEHICLE          ID      PAYLOAD                MASS(t) SITE*    ORBIT**
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
02/24/21 Minuteman 3      GT237GM Operational Test               VA LF10  SUB[1]
08/11/21 Minuteman 3      GT239GM Operational Test               VA LF09  SUB[2]
09/21/21 GBI              BTV-03  Development Test               VA LF24  SUB[3]
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
[1] To Kwajalein Atoll.  Pulled from 341st SMW.
[2] To Kwajalein Atoll.  High fidelity test using conventional explosive warhead.
      Original attempt aborted on 05/05/21.
[3] Test of selectible 2-stage mode of 3-stage vehicle.  Non-intercept test flight. 
=================================================================================
*Site Code:

AO = Arctic Ocean (Sub Launch), Russia
BA = Barents Sea (Sub Launch), Russia
BS = Barking Sands, Kauai, Hawaii
CC = Cape Canaveral, FL, USA 
DO = Dombarovsky, Russia 
FLP = First Launch Pad
JQ = Ji Quan, China 
KA = Kagoshima, Japan 
KC = Kennedy Space Center, FL, USA
KO = Kourou, French Guyana
KW = Kwajalein, Marshall Is.
KY = Kapustin Yar, Russia
MA = Mahia Peninsula, New Zealand
ME = Meck Island, Kwajalein Atoll, RMI
MU = Musudan-ri North Korea
NA = Naro Space Center, South Korea
NP = North Pole Submarine Launch
OK = Sea of Okhotsk
OLP = Odyssey Launch Platform
PA = Palamchima, Isreal 
PL = Plesetsk Northern Cosmodrome, Russia
PO = Pacific Ocean (154W-0N for Sea Launch)
SE = Semnan, Iran in Dasht-e-Kavir Desert
SH = Shahrud, Iran in Central Desert
SO = Sohae Satellite Launching Center, Tongchang-ri, North Korea
SR = Satish Dhawan Space Center, Sriharikota, India
SLP = Second Launch Pad
TA = Tanageshima, Japan 
TB = Tyuratam/Baikonur, Kazakstahn
TY = Taiyuan, China 
WC = Wenchang, China
WH = White Sea (Sub Launch), Russia
WI = Wallops Island 
XC = Xi Chang, China 
VA = Vandenberg AFB, CA, USA
VO = Vostochny, Russia
YL = Yellow Sea floating platform, 34.9 N, 121.19 E 
YO = Yoshinobu Launch Pad

**Orbit Code:

EEO = Elliptical Earth Orbit
EEO/M = Molynia (12-hr) Elliptical Earth Orbit
EEO/T = Tundra (24-hr) Elliptical Earth Orbit
FTO = Failed to Orbit
FSO = Failed Suborbital
GTO = Geosynchronous Transfer Orbit
GTO+ = Supersynchronous or High Perigee Transfer Orbit
GTO- = Subsynchronous Transfer Orbit
GTOi = Inclined GTO
GEO = Geosynchronous Orbit
HCO = Heliocentric (solar) Orbit
HTO = High Earth Transfer Orbit
LEO = Low Earth Orbit
LEO/E = Equatorial LEO
LEO/S = Sun Synchronous Low Earth Orbit
LEO/P = Polar Low Earth Orbit
LEO/R = Retrograde Low Earth Orbit
MEO = Medium Earth Orbit
MTO = Medium Earth Transfer Orbit 
SUB = Suborbital
=========================================================================

 

Space Launch Forecast 

========================================================================
                       SPACE LAUNCH REPORT

               ON THE PAD:  SPACE LAUNCH FORECAST
=========================================================================
                by Ed Kyle      as of April 26, 2021
=========================================================================
This space launch forecast, like all such space launch schedules, 
should not be considered anything but a vague long-term forecast. The 
dates, sequence, and even the total number of launches, can and almost 
certainly will be altered as time passes. (Predicting launch dates is 
much like trying to predict the weather months in advance.)

==================================================================================
DATE     VEHICLE           ID     PAYLOAD                 MASS(t) SITE*     ORBIT**
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
--/--/21 KZ-1A                    Gaofen 02D                      JQ        LEO 
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------


*Site Code:

BA = Barents Sea (Sub Launch), Russia
BS = Barking Sands, Kauai, Hawaii
CC = Cape Canaveral, FL, USA  
DO = Dombarovsky, Russia
FLP = First Launch Pad
GO = Goheung (Naro), South Korea
JQ = Ji Quan, China 
KA = Kagoshima, Japan 
KO = Kourou, French Guyana
KC = Kennedy Space Center, FL, USA
KD = Kodiak, Alaska
KW = Kwajalein, Marshall Is.
MA = Mahia, New Zealand
MO = Mojave Space Port, California, USA
MU = Musudan-ri, North Korea
OLP = Odyssey Launch Platform
PA = Palamchima, Isreal 
PL = Plesetsk Northern Cosmodrome, Russia
PO = Pacific Ocean Range 154W-0N 
SE = Semnan, Iran in Dasht-e-Kavir Desert
SO = Sohae Satellite Launching Center, Tongchang-ri, North Korea
SR = Satish Dhawan Space Center, Sriharikota, India
SLP = Second Launch Pad
SV = Svobodny Cosmodrome, Russia
TA = Tanageshima, Japan 
TB = Tyuratam/Baikonur, Kazakstahn
TY = Taiyuan, China
WC = Wenchang, China 
WI = Wallops Island 
XC = Xi Chang, China 
VA = Vandenberg AFB, CA, USA
YO = Yoshinobu Launch Pad


**Orbit Code:

EEO = Elliptical Earth Orbit
EEO/M = Molynia (12-hr) Elliptical Earth Orbit
EEO/T = Tundra (24-hr) Elliptical Earth Orbit
FTO = Failed to Orbit
FSO = Failed Suborbital
GTO = Geosynchronous Transfer Orbit
GTO+ = Supersynchronous Transfer Orbit
GTO- = Subsynchronous Transfer Orbit
GEO = Geosynchronous Orbit
HCO = Heliocentric (solar) Orbit
HTO = High Earth Transfer Orbit
LEO = Low Earth Orbit
LEO/S = Sun Synchronous Low Earth Orbit
LEO/P = Polar Low Earth Orbit
MEO = Medium Earth Orbit
MTO = Medium Earth Transfer Orbit
SUB = Suborbital
TLI = Trans Lunar Injection 

=========================================================================