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2007 Space Launch Report Updated January 9, 2008 2007 Launch Vehicle Standings |
2007 LAUNCH STATS
========================================================
SPACE LAUNCH REPORT
2007 LAUNCH VEHICLE/SITE STATISTICS
========================================================
by Ed Kyle as of December 25, 2007
========================================================
YEAR TO DATE LAUNCH VEHICLE SUMMARY
Calendar year launch vehicle results, ranked by number
of successes, with launch total as the first tiebreaker
and vehicle payload mass as the second tiebreaker.
Low Earth Orbit (LEO) missions have orbital periods
less than 2 hours. Deep Space missions include
heliocentric, planetocentric, and solar system escape
trajectories.
=========================================================
Vehicle Overall By Orbit Type
Launches Earth-Orbit Earth-Escape
(Failures) LEO >LEO Deep Space
=========================================================
R-7(Soyuz/Molniya) 12(0) 11(0)* 1(0) -
Chang Zheng 10(0) 4(0) 6(0) -
Delta 2 8(0) 3(0) 3(0) 2(0)*
Proton 7(1) - 7(1)* -
Ariane 5 6(0) - 6(0) -
Atlas 5 4(1) 1(0) 3(1) -
STS 3(0) 3(0) - -
Dnepr 3(0) 3(0) - -
Kosmos 3M 3(0) 3(0) - -
H-2A 2(0) 1(0) 1(0) -
PSLV 2(0) 2(0) - -
Delta 4 1(0) - 1(0) -
Zenit 2M 1(0) 1(0) - -
Minotaur 1 1(0) 1(0) - -
Pegasus XL 1(0) 1(0) - -
Shavit 1(0) 1(0) - -
Zenit 3SL/DMSL 1(1) - 1(1) -
GSLV 1(1) - 1(1) -
Falcon 1 1(1) 1(1) - -
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Total 68(5) 36(1) 30(4) 2(0)
* Denotes YTD Leader in Category
Ariane 5 Details
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Ariane 5ECA 4(0) - 4(0) -
Ariane 5GS 2(0) - 2(0) -
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Atlas 5 Details
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Atlas 5-401 3(1) 1(0) 2(1) -
Atlas 5-421 1(0) - 1(0) -
--------------------------------------------------------------------
Chang Zheng (Long March) Details
--------------------------------------------------------------------
CZ-2C 1(0) 1(0) - -
CZ-2D 1(0) 1(0) - -
CZ-2F - - - -
CZ-3A 4(0) - 4(0) -
CZ-3B 2(0) - 2(0) -
CZ-4B 1(0) 1(0) - -
CZ-4C 1(0) 1(0) - -
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Delta 2 Details
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Delta 2-7420 2(0) 2(0) - -
Delta 2-7920 1(0) 1(0) - -
Delta 2-7925 4(0) - 3(0) 1(0)
Delta 2-7925H 1(0) - - 1(0)
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Delta 4 Details
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Delta 4M - - - -
Delta 4M+4,2 - - - -
Delta 4H 1(0) - 1(0) -
-------------------------------------------------------------------
H-2A Details
--------------------------------------------------------------------
H-2A/2022 1(0) - 1(0) -
H-2A/2024 1(0) 1(0) - -
H-2A/202 - - - -
H-2A/204
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Proton Details
------------------------------------------------------------------
Proton-K/DM-2 1(0) - 1(0) -
Proton-M/Briz-M 5(1) - 5(1) -
Proton-M/DM-2 1(0) - 1(0) -
-------------------------------------------------------------------
PSLV Details
-----------------------------------------------------------------
PSLV-C 1(0) 1(0) - -
PSLV-CA (Core Only) 1(0) 1(0) - -
----------------------------------------------------------------
Soyuz/Molniya (R-7) Details
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Soyuz-U (Progress) 4(0) 4(0) - -
Soyuz-U (Kosmos) 2(0) 2(0) - -
Soyuz-FG/Fregat 3(0) 3(0) - -
Soyuz-FG/Soyuz 2(0) 2(0) - -
Soyuz-2-1a/Fregat
Soyuz-2-1b/Fregat
Molniya-M 1(0) - 1(0) -
-----------------------------------------------------------------
Space Shuttle (STS) Details
----------------------------------------------------------------
Discovery (OV-103) 1(0) 1(0) - -
Atlantis (OV-104) 1(0) 1(0) - -
Endeavour (OV-105) 1(0) 1(0) - -
-----------------------------------------------------------------
=========================================================
2007 LAUNCH SITE SUMMARY
Launch sites, ranked by number of orbital launch attempts.
=========================================================
Site Overall
Launches
(Failures)
=========================================================
Baikonur, Kazakhstan 20(1)
Cape Canaveral, Florida 10(1)
Kourou, French Guyana 6(0)
XiChang, China 6(0)
Plesetsk, Russia 5(0)
Vandenberg AFB, California 4(0)
Kennedy Space Center, Florida 3(0)
Taiyaun, China 3(0)
Sriharikota, India 3(1)
Tanegashima, Japan 2(0)
Jiuquan, China 1(0)
Wallops Island, VA 1(0)
Sea Launch LP Odyssey (POR) 1(1)
Kwajalein, RMI 1(1)
Dombarovsky, Russia 1(0)
Palmachim, Israel 1(0)
=========================================================
Launch Vehicle by Success Rate
================================================================
SPACE LAUNCH REPORT
ACTIVE LAUNCH VEHICLE RELIABILITY STATISTICS
================================================================
by Ed Kyle as of December 25, 2007
================================================================
Top active space launch vehicles ranked by their predicted
orbital success rate*. Failures include incorrect orbits.
================================================================
Vehicle Successes/Tries Realzd Pred Consc. Last Dates
Rate Rate* Succes Fail
================================================================
Tsyklon 2 104 105 .99 .98 92 4/25/73 1967-
Delta 2 132 134 .99 .98 79 1/17/97 1989-
STS 118 120 .98 .98 7(A) 2/1/03 1981-
Soyuz-U 715 735 .97 .97 32 10/15/02 1973-
Kosmos 3M 418 441 .95 .95 17 11/20/00 1964-
CZ-2(C)(/SD/SM) 29 30 .97 .94 29 11/5/74 1974-
Soyuz-FG 14 14 1.00 .94 14 None 2001-
CZ-4(A/B/C) 14 14 1.00 .94 14 None 1989-
Molniya M 275 294 .94 .93 2 6/21/05 1963-
Proton-K/DM-2M 40 42 .95 .93 7 11/25/02 1994-
Tsyklon 3 113 121 .93 .93 0 12/24/04 1977-
Proton-K/DM-2 98 106 .92 .92 12 10/27/99 1982-
CZ-2D 8 8 1.00 .90 8 None 1993-
Soyuz FG/Fregat 8 8 1.00 .90 8 None 2003-
Minotaur 1 7 7 1.00 .89 7 None 2000-
Proton-K/17S40 6 6 1.00 .88 6 None 1997-
CZ-2F 6 6 1.00 .88 6 None 1999-
Delta IV-M 6 6 1.00 .88 6 None 2002-
Proton-K 26 29+ .90 .87 9 11/29/86 1968-
H-2A 12 13 .92 .87 7 11/29/03 2001-
CZ-3/3A 25 28 .89 .87 15 8/18/96 1984-
Ariane 5-ECA 11 12 .92 .86 11 12/11/02 2002-
Atlas 5 11 12 .92 .86 2 6/15/07 2002-
Proton-M/Briz-M 17 19 .89 .86 2 09/05/07 2001-
Pegasus (H/XL) 33 38 .87 .85 24 11/4/96 1991-
Ariane 5G(+,S) 21 24 .88 .85 14 7/12/01 1996-
Zenit 3SL/DMSL 21 24 .88 .85 0 1/30/07 1999-
Soyuz-U/Fregat 4 4 1.00 .83 4 None 2000-
Dnepr 9 10 .90 .83 3 7/26/06 1999-
CZ-3B 8 9 .89 .82 8 1996 1996-
Rokot/Briz/K(M) 8 9 .89 .82 1 10/8/05 1994-
START(-1) 6 7 .86 .78 5 3/28/95 1993-
Taurus (XL) 6 7 .86 .78 1 9/21/01 1994-
PSLV 9 11 .82 .77 7 9/29/97 1993-
Zenit 2(M) 29 37 .78 .77 6 9/9/98 1985-
Soyuz 2-1a/Fregat 2 2# 1.00 .75 2 None 2006-
Shtil' 2 2 1.00 .75 2 None 1998-
Proton-M/DM-2 1 1 1.00 .67 1 12/25/07 2007-
Soyuz 2-1b/Fregat 1 1 1.00 .67 1 12/27/06 2006-
Shavit(-1) 5 8 .63 .60 1 9/6/04 1988-
Delta IV-H 1 2 .50 .50 1 12/21/04 2004-
GSLV 2 5 .40 .43 0 9/2/07 2001-
Volna 0 1 .00 .33 0 6/21/05 2005-
Falcon 1 0 2 .00 .25 0 3/21/07 2006-
================================================================
* First level Bayesian estimate of mean predicted probability
of success for next launch attempt (k+1)/(n+2) where k is the
number of successful events and n is the number of trials.
# Does not include one successful suborbital Soyuz 2-1a test
flight performed in 2004.
+ Does not include one successful suborbital Proton-K test flight
performed in 1970.
A) 2003 STS-107 Columbia failure during reentry result of
damage suffered during launch phase.
================================================================
===============================================================
SPACE LAUNCH REPORT
RECENTLY RETIRED LAUNCH VEHICLE RELIABILITY STATISTICS
================================================================
by Ed Kyle as of January 9, 2007
================================================================
Recently retired space launch vehicles ranked by
their predicted orbital success rate*. Failures include
incorrect orbits.
================================================================
Vehicle Successes/Tries Realzd Pred Consc. Last Dates
Rate Rate* Succes Fail
================================================================
Atlas 2/2AS 63 63 1.00 .98 63 None 1991-2004
Ariane 4 113 116 .97 .97 74 12/11/94 1988-2003
Titan 2 17 17# 1.00 .95 17 None 1964-2003
Atlas 3(A/B) 6 6 1.00 .88 6 None 2000-2005
Soyuz-U/Ikar 6 6 1.00 .88 6 None 1999-1999
Titan 4B 15 17 .88 .84 12 4/30/99 1997-2005
Titan 2(Star) 6 7% .86 .78 6 10/5/93 1964-2003
M-5 6 7 .86 .78 4 2/10/00 1997-2006
Proton-K/Briz-M 3 4 .75 .67 3 7/5/99 1999-2003
================================================================
#Includes 11 orbital Gemini Titan 2 and 6 Titan 23G missions.
%Seven Titan 23G flights that flew suborbital profiles with
Star 37 solid rocket motors providing the final orbital velocity
increment. The single failure listed here involved the Star 37
stage.
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2007 SPACE LAUNCH LOG
=========================================================================
SPACE LAUNCH REPORT
2007 ORBITAL/SUBORBITAL LAUNCH LOG
=========================================================================
by Ed Kyle as of December 26, 2007
=========================================================================
YEAR TO DATE ORBITAL SPACE LAUNCH LOG
DATE VEHICLE ID PAYLOAD MASS(t) SITE* ORBIT**
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
01/10/07 PSLV-C C7 CartoSat 2/SRE 1 1.29 SR 1 LEO/S
01/18/07 Soyuz-U 1718 Progress M-59/ISS24P 7.4 TB 1/5 LEO/ISS
01/30/07 Zenit 3SL/DMSL SL-16 NSS-8 5.92 PO OLP [FTO](1)
02/02/07 CZ3A CZ3A12 Beidou-4 2.2 XC 2 GTO
02/17/07 Delta 2-7925-10 D323 THEMIS 0.5 CC 17B EEO
02/24/07 H-2A 2024 F12 IGS-3B + Optical 3 1.2+ TA 1 LEO/S
03/09/07 Atlas 5-401 AV013 STP-1 (Orbital Express+) 1.4 CC 41 LEO
03/11/07 Ariane 5-ECA A535 V175 Skynet 5A/Insat 4B 7.67 KO 3 GTO
03/21/07 Falcon 1 F1-2 Demo-2/AFSS/LCT2 0.05 KW [FTO](2)
04/07/07 Soyuz FG 1719 Soyuz TMA-10 (ISS14S) 7.25 TB 1/5 LEO/ISS
04/09/07 Proton M/Briz M 53516 Anik F3 4.64 TB 200/39 GTO+
04/11/07 CZ-2C CZ2C29 Haiyang 1B (Ocean 1B) 0.36 TY 1 LEO/S
04/13/07 CZ-3A CZ3A13 Compass 2.2? XC 3 MTO
04/17/07 Dnepr No. 8 EgyptSat, et al 0.21 TB LEO/S
04/23/07 PSLV-CA (Core) C8 AGILE/AMM 0.54 SR SLP LEO
04/24/07 Minotaur 1 No. 7 NFIRE 0.45? WI LA0B LEO
04/25/07 Pegasus XL AIM 0.20 VA L1011 LEO/S
05/04/07 Ariane 5 ECA A536 V176 Astra 1L/Galaxy 17 8.60 KO 3 GTO
05/12/07 Soyuz U 1720 Progress M-60/ISS25P 7.28 TB 1/5 LEO/ISS
05/13/07 CZ-3B CZ3B8 NigComSat 1 5.15 XC 2 GTO
05/25/07 CZ-2D CZ2D8 Yaogan 2 radarsat 3.50? JQ 4L LEO/S
05/29/07 Soyuz FG/Fregat 1721 4xGlobalstar (ST-18) 1.8 TB 31/6 LEO
05/31/07 CZ-3A CZ3A14 SinoSat 3 2.2 XC 3 GTO
06/07/07 Soyuz-U 1722 Kosmos 2427 PL 16/2? LEO
06/08/07 Delta 2-7420-10 D324 COSMO/SkyMed 1 1.91 VA 2W LEO/S
06/08/07 STS/Atlantis OV104 STS-117/ISS-13A 16.33 KC 39A LEO/ISS
06/10/07 Shavit No. 6 Ofeq-7 0.3 PA LEO
06/15/07 Dnepr No. 9 TerraSAR-X 1.346 TB 109 LEO/S
06/15/07 Atlas 5-401 AV009 NRO L-30 (NOSS Gen3) CC 41 [EEO](3)
06/28/07 Dnepr No. 10 Genesis 2 1.36 DO LEO
06/29/07 Zenit 2M 1-2005 Tselina 2 (Kosmos 2428) 3.2 TB 45/1 LEO
07/02/07 Kosmos 3M SAR-Lupe 2 0.72 PL 132/1 LEO/P
07/05/07 CZ-3B CZ3B9 Xhongxing-6B 4.6 XC 2 GTO
07/07/07 Proton M/Briz M DirecTV 10 5.89 TB 200/39 GTO
08/02/07 Soyuz-U 1723 Progress M-61 (26P) 7.2 TB 1/5 LEO/ISS
08/04/07 Delta 2-7925 D325 Phoenix Mars Lander 0.67 CC 17A HCO
08/08/07 STS-Endeavour OV105 STS-118/ISS 13A.1(S5) 127.86 KC 39A LEO/ISS
08/14/07 Ariane 5-ECA A537 V177 Spaceway 3/BSAT 3A 8.06 KO 3 GTO
09/02/07 GSLV F04 INSAT-4CR 2.13 SRI SLP [EEO](4)
09/05/07 Proton M/Briz M 53522 JCSAT 11 4.0 TB 200/39 [FTO](5)
09/11/07 Kosmos 3M Parus Nav (Kosmos 2429) PL 132/1 LEO
09/14/07 H-2A-2022 F13 SELENE Lunar Orbiter 3.09 TA 1 HTO
09/14/07 Soyuz-U 1724 Foton M3 6.5 TB 1/5 LEO
09/18/07 Delta 2-7920-10 D326 WorldView 1 2.5 VA 2W LEO/S
09/19/07 CZ-4B CZ413 CBERS-2B 1.452 TY LEO/S
09/27/07 Delta 2-7295H D327 Dawn 1.218 CC 17B HCO
10/05/07 Ariane 5GS A526 V178 Intelsat 11/Optus D2 4.85 KO 3 GTO
10/10/07 Soyuz FG 1725 Soyuz TMA-11 (ISS16S) 7.25 TB 1/5 LEO/ISS
10/11/07 Atlas 5-421 AV011 WGS-SV1 5.77 CC 41 GTO+
10/17/07 Delta 2-7925-9.5 D328 GPS 2R-17 2.059 CC 17A MTO
10/20/07 Soyuz FG/Fregat 1726 4xGlobalstar (ST-19) 1.8 TB 31/6 LEO
10/23/07 Molniya-M/2BL 1727 Kosmos 2430(Oko) 2.4 PL 16/2 EEO/M
10/23/07 STS/Discovery OV103 STS-120/ISS10A/Node2 123.4 KC 39A LEO/ISS
10/24/07 CZ-3A CZ3A15 Chang'e-1 (Lunar Orb) 2.3 XC 3 EEO
10/26/07 Proton-K/DM-2 3xGLONASS 4.35 TB 81/24 MEO
11/01/07 Kosmos 3M SAR-Lupe 3 0.72 PL 132/1 LEO/S
11/11/07 Delta 4H D329 DSP-23 2.38 CC 37B GEO
11/11/07 CZ-4C CZ414 Yaogan 3 2.7 TY LEO/S
11/14/07 Ariane 5 ECA A538 Skynet5B/StarOne(V179) 8.735 KO 3 GTO
11/17/07 Proton M/Briz M Sirius 4 4.4 TB 200/39 GTO
12/09/07 Proton M/Briz M Kosmos 2434 (Globus?) TB 81/24 GEO?
12/09/07 Delta 2-7420-10 D330 COSMO-Skymed 2 1.90 VA 2W LEO/S
12/10/07 Atlas 5-401 AV015 NROL-24 (SDS?) CC 41 EEO/M?
12/14/07 Soyuz FG/Fregat 1728 Radarsat 2 (ST20) 2.2 TB 31/6 LEO/S
12/20/07 Delta 2-7925 D331 GPS 2R-18 2.06 CC 17A MTO
12/21/07 Ariane 5GS A530 V180/RAscom 1/Horizons 2 5.464 KO 3 GTO
12/23/07 Soyuz-U 1729 Progress M-62 7.13 TB 1/5 LEO/ISS
12/25/07 Proton M/DM-2 3xGlonass-M 4.245 TB 81/24 MEO
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(1) RD-171 engine failed at liftoff due to turbopump ingesting foreign object.
Explosion enveloped and damaged LP Odyssey. Planned GTO.
(2) Control failure at T+5 min, during second stage burn due to propellant slosh
initiated by stage 1/2 contact at staging. 300km apogee.
(3) Centaur shut down 4s early during 2nd burn due to RL10 fuel inlet valve that
failed to seal after first burn. LH2 leaked during coast, causing a shortfall
during second burn. Planned 1,000 x 1,200 km x 63.4 deg.
Actual 842 x 1186 km x 63.35 deg.
(4) Launch vehicle placed INSAT-4CR in 168 x 31,786 km x 15.8 deg orbit, well
short of planned 170 x 35,975 km x 21.7 deg GTO.
(5) Proton M failed during 1st/2nd stg staging. Cable fault prevented ignition of
all pyrobolts. Second stage ignited but could not properly separate.
==================================================================================
2007 MAJOR SUBORBITAL LAUNCH LOG
Suborbital Launches Using Booster Hardware Also Used
for Orbital Launches
==================================================================================
DATE VEHICLE ID PAYLOAD MASS(t) SITE* ORBIT**
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
01/11/07 DF-21/KT-1? ASAT Test 0.4? XC SUB (1)
02/07/07 Minuteman 3 Glory Trip 193GM VA LF10 SUB (2)
03/21/07 Minotaur 2 (MM2) TLV5 SBX Target VA LF06 SUB (3)
05/29/07 RS-24 (Topol-M/MIRV) ICBM Test PL SUB (4)
06/28/07 R-30 (Bulava) SLBM Test WH SUB (5)
08/07/07 R-29R SLBM Test PO SUB (6)
08/23/07 Minotaur 2 (MM2) TLV7 MDA Test VA LF06 SUB (7)
09/28/07 OBV/GBI OBV6 FT-3a MDA/GMD Intercept Test VA LF23 SUB (8)
10/18/07 RS-12M (Topol) ICBM Test PL SUB (8.1)
10/29/07 UR-100NUTTH (SS-19) ICBM Test TB Silo SUB (9)
11/10/07 R-30 (Bulava) SLBM Test WH [FSO](9.1)
12/08/07 RS-12M (Topol) ICBM Test KY SUB (10)
12/17/07 R-29RM(RSM-54)(Sineva) SLBM Test BA SUB (11)
12/25/07 R-29RM(RSM-54)(Sineva) SLBM Test BA SUB (11)
12/25/07 RS-24 (Topol-M/MIRV) ICBM Test PL SUB (4)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(1) Suborbital ASAT launch test destroyed China's FY-1C weathersat in
843 x 862km x 98.8 deg orbit. First China ASAT success after four
reported failures.
(2) ICBM test to Kwajalein Atoll. Missile pulled from active duty in silo at
Minot AFB, ND.
(3) Midcourse Defense sensor target boosted by sixth "Minotaur 2", a 3-stage
Minuteman 2 ICBM re-equipped with Pegasus avionics.
(4) Warheads landed on Kamchatka range. Announced to be first flights of new
MIRV ICBM missile type from a mobile launcher at Plesetsk. Believed to be a
MIRV Topol-M variant.
(5) First Bulava success after consecutive failures. Launched from Dmitry
Donsko nuclear submarine toward Kura test site on Kamchatka Peninsula.
(6) R-29R SLBM test launched from submarine in Pacific Ocean to Barents Sea
range (one report said to Kanin Peninsula, another said to Novaya Zemlya
island). Launched from K-211 Petropavlovsk-Kamchatskiy.
(7) Minotaur 2 (Modified Minuteman 2) launched to serve as sensor target for
NFIRE satellite. $25 million Missile Defense Agency test.
(8) Intercepted Polaris/Stars target missile launched from Kodiak, Alaska.
(8.1) Test launch from Plestesk mobile launcher to Kura Test Range, Kamchatka.
(9) Test launch from Baikonur silo toward Kura Test Range on Kamchatka Peninsula.
(9.1) FAILED SLBM test launch. Failure during 1st stage shortly after launch.
(10) Test from Kapustin Yar mobile launcher to Sary Shagan test range, Kazakhstan.
(11) SLBM tests from submarine Tula in Barents Sea to Kura/Kamchatka.
=================================================================================
*Site Code:
BA = Barents Sea (Sub Launch), Russia
CC = Cape Canaveral, FL, USA
DO = Dombarovsky, Russia
FLP = First Launch Pad
JQ = Ji Quan, China
KA = Kagoshima, Japan
KC = Kennedy Space Center, FL, USA
KO = Kourou, French Guyana
KW = Kwajalein, Marshall Is.
KY = Kapustin Yar, Russia
MU = Musudan-ri North Korea
NP = North Pole Submarine Launch
OK = Sea of Okhotsk
OLP = Odyssey Launch Platform
PA = Palamchima, Isreal
PL = Plesetsk Northern Cosmodrome, Russia
PO = Pacific Ocean (154W-0N for Sea Launch)
SR = Satish Dhawan Space Center, Sriharikota, India
SLP = Second Launch Pad
TA = Tanageshima, Japan
TB = Tyuratam/Baikonur, Kazakstahn
TY = Taiyuan, China
WH = White Sea (Sub Launch), Russia
WI = Wallops Island
XC = Xi Chang, China
VA = Vandenberg AFB, CA, USA
YO = Yoshinobu Launch Pad
**Orbit Code:
EEO/M = Molynia (12-hr) Elliptical Earth Orbit
FTO = Failed to Orbit
FSO = Failed Suborbital
GTO = Geosynchronous Transfer Orbit
GTO+ = Supersynchronous or High Perigee Transfer Orbit
GTO- = Subsynchronous Transfer Orbit
GEO = Geosynchronous Orbit
HCO = Heliocentric (solar) Orbit
HTO = High Earth Transfer Orbit
LEO = Low Earth Orbit
LEO/S = Sun Synchronous Low Earth Orbit
LEO/P = Polar Low Earth Orbit
MEO = Medium Earth Orbit
MTO = Medium Earth Transfer Orbit
SUB = Suborbital
=========================================================================
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