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2006 Space Launch Report Updated December 10, 2007 2006 Launch Vehicle Standings |
2006 LAUNCH STATS ========================================================
SPACE LAUNCH REPORT
2006 LAUNCH VEHICLE/SITE STATISTICS
========================================================
by Ed Kyle as of December 31, 2006
========================================================
YEAR TO DATE LAUNCH VEHICLE SUMMARY
Calendar year launch vehicle results, ranked by number
of successes, with launch total as the first tiebreaker
and vehicle payload mass as the second tiebreaker.
Low Earth Orbit (LEO) missions have orbital periods
less than 2 hours. Deep Space missions include
heliocentric, planetocentric, and solar system escape
trajectories.
=========================================================
Vehicle Overall By Orbit Type
Launches Earth-Orbit Earth-Escape
(Failures) LEO >LEO Deep Space
=========================================================
R-7(Soyuz/Molniya)** 12(0) 10(0) 2(0) -
Chang Zheng **** 6(0) 3(0) 3(0) -
Delta 2 $$$ 6(0) 2(0) 4(0) -
Proton *** 6(1) - 6(1) -
Ariane 5 ***** 5(0) - 5(0) -
Zenit 3SL/DMSL 5(0) - 5(0) -
H-2A 4(0) 2(0) 2(0) -
Space Shuttle (STS) 3(0) 3(0) - -
Delta 4 % 3(0) 1(0) 2(0) -
Atlas 5 $$ 2(0) - 1(0) 1(0)
M-5 2(0) 2(0) - -
Minotaur-1 2(0) 2(0) - -
Dnepr 2(1) 2(1) - -
Tsyklon 2 1(0) 1(0) - -
Kosmos 3M 1(0) 1(0) - -
Rokot/Briz KM 1(0) 1(0) - -
Start-1 1(0) 1(0) - -
Pegasus-XL 1(0) - 1(0) -
Shtil' 1(0) 1(0) - -
GSLV 1(1) - 1(1) -
Falcon 1 1(1) 1(1) - -
-----------------------------------------------------------
Total 66(4) 33(2) 32(2) 1(0)
* Denotes YTD Leader in Category
** Soyuz/Molniya Details
-----------------------------------------------------------
Soyuz-U (Progress) 3(0) 3(0) - -
Soyuz-U (Kosmos) 3(0) 3(0) - -
Soyuz-FG/Fregat
Soyuz-FG/Soyuz 2(0) 2(0) - -
Soyuz-2-1a/Fregat 2(0) 1(0) 1(0) -
Soyuz-2-1b/Fregat 1(0) 1(0) - -
Molniya-M 1(0) - 1(0) -
-----------------------------------------------------------
***Proton Details
----------------------------------------------------------
Proton-K/DM-2 1(0) - 1(0) -
Proton-K/DM-2M 1(0) - 1(0) -
Proton-K/17S40
Proton-K/Briz-M
Proton-M/Briz-M 4(1) - 4(1) -
----------------------------------------------------------
****Chang Zheng (Long March) Details
----------------------------------------------------------
CZ-2C 1(0) 1(0) - -
CZ-2D
CZ-2F
CZ-3A 2(0) - 2(0) -
CZ-3B 1(0) - 1(0) -
CZ-4B 2(0) 2(0) - -
----------------------------------------------------------
% Delta 4 Details
-----------------------------------------------------------
Delta 4M 1(0) 1(0) - -
Delta 4M+4,2 2(0) - 2(0) -
----------------------------------------------------------
*****Ariane 5 Details
----------------------------------------------------------
Ariane 5ECA 5(0) - 5(0) -
Ariane 5GS
----------------------------------------------------------
$H-2A Details
----------------------------------------------------------
H-2A/2022 1(0) 1(0) - -
H-2A/2024 1(0) - 1(0) -
H-2A/202 1(0) 1(0) - -
H-2A/204 1(0) - 1(0) -
----------------------------------------------------------
$$Atlas 5 Details
-----------------------------------------------------------
Atlas 5-551 1(0) - - 1(0)
Atlas 5-411 1(0) - 1(0) -
------------------------------------------------------------
$$$Delta 2 Details
----------------------------------------------------------
Delta 2-7420 1(0) 1(0) - -
Delta 2-7920 1(0) 1(0) - -
Delta 2-7925 4(0) - 4(0) -
----------------------------------------------------------
Space Shuttle (STS) Details
-----------------------------------------------------------
Discovery (OV-103) 2(0) 2(0) - -
Atlantis (OV-104) 1(0) 1(0) - -
-----------------------------------------------------------
=========================================================
2006 LAUNCH SITE SUMMARY
Launch sites, ranked by number of year-to-date orbital
launch attempts.
=========================================================
Site Overall
Launches
(Failures)
=========================================================
Baikonur, Kazakhstan 17(2)
Cape Canaveral, Florida 7(0)
Vandenberg AFB, California 6(0)
Sea Launch LP Odyssey (POR) 5(0)
Kourou, French Guyana 5(0)
Plestesk, Russia 5(0)
Tanegashima, Japan 4(0)
Kennedy Space Center, Florida 3(0)
XiChang, China 3(0)
Taiyaun, China 2(0)
Kagoshima, Japan 2(0)
Jiuquan, China 1(0)
Svobodny, Russia 1(0)
Dombarovsky, Russia 1(0)
Barents Sea (Sub Launched) 1(0)
Wallops Island, VA 1(0)
Kwajalein, RMI 1(1)
Sriharikota, India 1(1)
=========================================================
Launch Vehicle by Success Rate ================================================================
SPACE LAUNCH REPORT
ACTIVE LAUNCH VEHICLE RELIABILITY STATISTICS
================================================================
by Ed Kyle as of December 31, 2006
================================================================
Top active space launch vehicles ranked by their predicted
orbital success rate*. Failures include incorrect orbits.
================================================================
Vehicle Successes/Tries Realzd Pred Consc. Last Dates
Rate Rate* Succes Fail
================================================================
Tsyklon 2 104 105 .99 .98 92 4/25/73 1967-
Delta 2 124 126 .98 .98 71 1/17/97 1989-
STS 115 117 .98 .97 4(A) 2/1/03 1981-
Soyuz-U 709 729 .97 .97 26 10/15/02 1973-
Kosmos 3M 415 438 .95 .95 14 11/20/00 1964-
CZ-2(C)(/SD/SM) 28 29 .97 .94 28 11/5/74 1974-
Molniya M 274 293 .94 .93 1 6/21/05 1963-
Proton-K/DM-2M 40 42 .95 .93 7 11/25/02 1994-
Soyuz-FG 12 12 1.00 .93 12 None 2001-
CZ-4(A/B) 12 12 1.00 .93 12 None 1989-
Tsyklon 3 113 121 .93 .93 0 12/24/04 1977-
Proton-K/DM-2 97 105 .92 .92 11 10/27/99 1982-
Atlas 5 8 8 1.00 .90 8 None 2002-
CZ-2D 7 7 1.00 .89 7 None 1993-
Zenit 3SL/DMSL 21 23 .91 .88 9 6/29/04 1999-
Proton-M/Briz-M 13 14 .93 .88 3 02/28/06 2001-
Proton-K/17S40 6 6 1.00 .88 6 None 1997-
CZ-2F 6 6 1.00 .88 6 None 1999-
Delta IV-M 6 6 1.00 .86 6 None 2002-
Minotaur 6 6 1.00 .88 6 None 2000-
Proton-K 26 29+ .90 .87 9 11/29/86 1968-
Soyuz FG/Fregat 5 5 1.00 .86 5 None 2003-
Pegasus (H/XL) 32 37 .86 .85 23 11/4/96 1991-
CZ-3/3A 21 24 .88 .85 11 8/18/96 1984-
H-2A 10 11 .91 .85 5 11/29/03 2001-
Soyuz-U/Fregat 4 4 1.00 .83 4 None 2000-
Ariane 5G(+,S) 19 22 .86 .83 12 7/12/01 1996-
Rokot/Briz/K(M) 8 9 .88 .80 1 10/8/05 1994-
Ariane 5-ECA 7 8 .88 .80 7 12/11/02 2002-
CZ-3B 6 7 .86 .78 6 1996 1996-
Dnepr 6 7 .86 .78 0 7/26/06 1999-
M-5 6 7 .86 .78 4 2/10/00 1997-2006
START(-1) 6 7 .86 .78 5 3/28/95 1993-
Taurus (XL) 6 7 .86 .78 1 9/21/01 1994-
Zenit 2 28 36 .78 .76 5 9/9/98 1985-
Soyuz 2-1a/Fregat 2 2# 1.00 .75 2 None 2006-
Shtil' 2 2 1.00 .75 2 None 1998-
PSLV 7 9 .78 .73 5 9/29/97 1993-
Soyuz 2-1b/Fregat 1 1 1.00 .67 1 12/27/06 2006-
Shavit 4 7 .57 .56 0 9/6/04 1988-
GSLV 2 4 .50 .50 0 7/10/06 2001-
Delta IV-H 0 1 .00 .33 0 12/21/04 2004-
Volna 0 1 .00 .33 0 6/21/05 2005-
Falcon 1 0 1 .00 .33 0 3/24/06 2006-
================================================================
* First level Bayesian estimate of mean predicted probability
of success for next launch attempt (k+1)/(n+2) where k is the
number of successful events and n is the number of trials.
# Does not include one successful suborbital Soyuz 2-1a test
flight performed in 2004.
+ Does not include one successful suborbital Proton-K test flight
performed in 1970.
A) 2003 STS-107 Columbia failure during reentry result of
damage suffered during launch phase.
================================================================
===============================================================
SPACE LAUNCH REPORT
RECENTLY RETIRED LAUNCH VEHICLE RELIABILITY STATISTICS
================================================================
by Ed Kyle as of December 31, 2006
================================================================
Recently retired space launch vehicles ranked by
their predicted orbital success rate*. Failures include
incorrect orbits.
================================================================
Vehicle Successes/Tries Realzd Pred Consc. Last Dates
Rate Rate* Succes Fail
================================================================
Atlas 2/2AS 63 63 1.00 .98 63 None 1991-2004
Ariane 4 113 116 .97 .97 74 12/11/94 1988-2003
Titan 2 17 17# 1.00 .95 17 None 1964-2003
Atlas 3(A/B) 6 6 1.00 .88 6 None 2000-2005
Soyuz-U/Ikar 6 6 1.00 .88 6 None 1999-1999
Titan 4B 15 17 .88 .84 12 4/30/99 1997-2005
Titan 2(Star) 6 7% .86 .78 6 10/5/93 1964-2003
M-5 6 7 .86 .78 4 2/10/00 1997-2006
Proton-K/Briz-M 3 4 .75 .67 3 7/5/99 1999-2003
================================================================
#Includes 11 orbital Gemini Titan 2 and 6 Titan 23G missions.
%Seven Titan 23G flights that flew suborbital profiles with
Star 37 solid rocket motors providing the final orbital velocity
increment. The single failure listed here involved the Star 37
stage.
================================================================
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2006 SPACE LAUNCH LOG =========================================================================
SPACE LAUNCH REPORT
2006 ORBITAL/SUBORBITAL LAUNCH LOG
=========================================================================
by Ed Kyle as of December 31, 2006
=========================================================================
YEAR TO DATE ORBITAL SPACE LAUNCH LOG
DATE VEHICLE ID PAYLOAD MASS(t) SITE* ORBIT**
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
01/19/06 Atlas 5-551 AV010 Pluto New Horizons 0.47 CC 41 HCO
01/24/06 H-2A/2022 F8 ALOS 4.0 TA LEO/S
02/15/06 Zenit 3SL/DMSL SL24 Echostar X 4.33 POR GTO
02/18/06 H-2A/2024 F9 MTSAT-2 4.65 TA GTO
02/21/06 M-5 F8 ASTRO-F 0.96 KA LEO/S
02/28/06 Proton M/Briz M 53511 Arabsat 4A 3.3 TB 200/39 [EEO](1)
03/11/06 Ariane 5 ECA A527 Hotbird 7A/SpainSat/V170 7.7 KO 3 GTO
03/22/06 Pegasus XL SpaceTech 5 0.75 VA L1011 EEO/P
03/24/06 Falcon 1 F2 Falconsat 2 0.02 KW [FTO](2)
03/30/06 Soyuz FG 1706 Soyuz TMA-8 7.25 TB 1/5 LEO
04/12/06 Zenit 3SL/DMSL SL31 JCSAT 9 4.4 POR GTO
04/15/06 Minotaur 1 SLV5 Formosat 3A-F 0.42 VA 8 LEO/S
04/20/06 Atlas 5-411 AV008 Astra 1KR 4.33 CC 41 GTO+
04/24/06 Soyuz U 1707 Progress M-56 7.3 TB 1/5 LEO
04/25/06 Start-1 EROS-B 0.36 SV LEO/S
04/26/06 CZ-4B CZ4-11 Yaogan 1 2.7 TY LEO/S
04/28/06 Delta 2-7420 D314 CALIPSO/Cloudsat 1.7 VA 2W LEO/S
05/03/06 Soyuz U 1708 Kosmos 2420 6.7 PL 16/2 LEO
05/24/06 Delta 4M+4,2 D315 GOES-N 3.2 CC 37B GTO+
05/26/06 Shtil' No2 Kompas-2 0.08 BA LEO (3)
05/27/06 Ariane 5 ECA A529 Satmex 6/Thiacom 5/V171 8.23 KO 3 GTO
06/15/06 Soyuz-U 1709 Resurs DK-1 7.25 TB 1/5 LEO
06/17/08 Proton K/DM-2M 41012 KazSat 1.38 TB 200/39 GEO
06/18/06 Zenit 3SL/DMSL SL29 Galaxy 16 4.64 POR GTO
06/21/06 Delta 2-7925 D316 MITEX A/B 1.1? CC 17A GTO (4)
06/24/06 Soyuz-U 1710 Progress M-57 7.25 TB 1/5 LEO
06/25/06 Tsyklon 2 105 Kosmos 2421 3.2? TB 90/20 LEO
06/28/06 Delta 4M+4,2 D317 NROL-22 VA 6 EEO/M (5)
07/04/06 STS/Discovery OV103 STS-121/ISS-ULF1.1 123.5 KC 39B LEO/ISS
07/10/06 GSLV F02 Insat 4C 2.17 SR SLP [FTO] (6)
07/12/06 Dnepr 6 Genesis 1 1.36 DO LEO (7)
07/21/06 Molniya M 1711 Kosmos 2422 (Oko) 2.4 PL 16/2 EEO/M
07/26/06 Dnepr 7 BelKA + microsats 0.46 TB 109 [FTO] (8)
07/28/06 Rokot/Briz KM 9 Kompsat 2 0.8 PL 133 LEO/S
08/04/06 Proton M/Briz M 53514 HotBird 8 4.88 TB 200/39 GTO+
08/11/06 Ariane 5-ECA A531 Syracuse3B/JCSAT10/V172 7.80 KO 3 GTO
08/22/06 Zenit 3SL/DMSL SL25 Koreasat 5 4.47 POR GTO
09/09/06 CZ-2C CZ2C25 Shi Jian 8 2.0? JQ LEO
09/09/06 STS/Atlantis OV103 STS-115/ISS-12A 117.5 KC39B LEO/ISS
09/11/06 H-2A-202 F10 IGS-3a 0.85 TA LEO/S
09/12/06 CZ-3A CZ3A10 Zhongxing 22A XC LA2 GTO
09/14/06 Soyuz-U 1712 Kosmos 2423 6.75 TB 31/6 LEO
09/18/06 Soyuz-FG 1713 Soyuz TMA-9/ISS-13S 7.25 TB 1/5 LEO/ISS
09/22/06 M-5 M-V-7 Solar B 0.87 KA LEO/S
09/25/06 Delta 2-7925 D318 GPS 2R-15(M) 2.06 CC 17A MTO
10/13/06 Ariane 5-ECA A533 DirecTB9S/OptusD1/V173 8.18 KO 3 GTO
10/19/06 Soyuz 2-1a/Fregat 1714 METOP-A (ST16) 4.18 TB 31/6 LEO/S
10/23/06 Soyuz U 1715 Progress M-58 7.25 TB 1/5 LEO/ISS
10/23/06 CZ-4B CZ4-12 Shijian 6-2A & 6-2B 2.4 TY LEO/P
10/26/06 Delta 2-7925 D319 STEREO (two sats) 1.24 CC 17B EEO
10/28/06 CZ-3B CZ3B7 Xinnuo-2 (Sinosat-2) 5.10 XC 2 GTO
10/30/06 Zenit 3SL/DMSL SL22 XM-4 5.193 POR GTO
11/04/06 Delta 4M D320 DMSP-17 1.225 V 6 LEO/S
11/08/06 Proton M/Briz M 53515 BADR 4 (Arabsat 4B) 3.28 TB 200/39 GTO+
11/17/06 Delta 2-7925 D321 GPS 2R-16(M3) 2.06 CC 17A MTO
12/08/06 CZ-3A CZ3A11 Fengyun 2D 1.39 XC LA2 GTO
12/08/06 Ariane 5 ECA A534 Wildblue 1/AMC-18(V174) 6.82 KO 3 GTO
12/10/06 STS/Discovery OV103 STS-116/ISS 12A.1 120.42 KC 39B LEO/ISS
12/11/06 Proton M/Briz M 53521 Measat 3 4.77 TB 200/39 GTO
12/14/06 Delta 2-7920 D322 NRO L-21 VA 2W LEO
12/16/06 Minotaur 1 M-6 Tacsat 2 0.37 WI 0-B LEO
12/18/06 H-2A-204 F11 ETS-8 5.80 TA Y GTO
12/19/06 Kosmos 3M SAR-Lupe 1 0.72 PL 132/1 LEO/P
12/24/06 Soyuz 2.1a/Fregat 1716 Meridian (Kosmos) 2.00? PL 43/4 EEO/M
12/25/06 Proton K/DM-2 41015 3xGlonass 3M 4.35 TB 81/24 MEO
12/27/06 Soyuz 2.1b/Fregat 1717 CAROT (ST17) 0.63 TB 31/6 LEO/P
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(1) Briz M failure during 2nd of 4 planned burns stranded Arabsat 4A short of
planned GTO. Foreign particles blocked oxidizer supply to booster
hydraulic pump.
(2) First SpaceX Falcon 1 attempt failed shortly after liftoff, planned LEO
(3) Launched from Submarine "Ekaterinburg" in Barents Sea
(4) Payload included USN liquid fourth stage
(5) First Vandenberg AFB EELV
(6) First stage liquid strap-on failed shortly after liftoff
(7) First orbital launch from Dombarovsky, Russia
(8) Failed during second stage burn
==================================================================================
2006 MAJOR SUBORBITAL LAUNCH LOG
Suborbital Launches Using Booster Hardware Also Used
for Orbital Launches
==================================================================================
DATE VEHICLE ID PAYLOAD MASS(t) SITE* ORBIT**
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
02/16/06 Minuteman 3 SERV-3 VA LF10 SUB
04/07/06 Minuteman 3 GT-190GM ICBM Test VA LF26 SUB
04/22/06 Kosmos 3M (K65M-R) Dummy Universal Warhead KY 107 SUB (1)
06/14/06 Minuteman 3 GT-191GM ICBM Test VA LF04 SUB
07/04/06 Taepo Dong 2 Missile Test MU FSO (2)
07/20/06 Minuteman 3 GT-192GM ICBM Test VA LF09 SUB
08/03/06 Topol' (RS-12M) ICBM Test PL SUB
09/01/06 OBV/GBI OBV5 FT-2 MDA/GMD Intercept Test VA SUB (3)
09/05/06 DF-31 ICBM Test TY SUB
09/07/06 Bulava (SS-NX-30) #3 SLBM Test WH [FSO](4)
09/09/06 Sineva (R-29RM) SLBM Test NP SUB
09/10/06 Volna (R-29R) SLBM Test BA SUB
10/25/06 Bulava (SS-NX-30) #4 SLBM Test WH [FSO](5)
11/09/06 RS-18 (SS-19) ICBM Test TB Silo SUB
12/21/06 R-36M2 (SS-18) ICBM Test DO Silo SUB (6)
12/24/06 Bulava (SS-NX-30) #5 SLBM Test WH [FSO](7)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(1) First Kapustin Yar launch since 1999
(2) First Taepodong 2 variant, failed about 40 seconds after liftoff from
Musudan-ri, North Korea
(3) Intercepted Polaris/Stars target missile launched from Kodiak, Alaska
(4) Failed SLBM test. 2nd stage failure at startup.
(5) Veered off course shortly after launch. Self-destructed. 2nd consecutive
Bulava failure.
(6) Third launch from Dombarovsky since 2004, including one Dnepr orbital
launch in 2006.
(7) Failed SLBM test. Third stage failure. 3rd consecutive Bulava failure.
=================================================================================
*Site Code:
BA = Barents Sea (Sub Launch), Russia
CC = Cape Canaveral, FL, USA
DO = Dombarovsky, Russia
FLP = First Launch Pad
JQ = Ji Quan, China
KA = Kagoshima, Japan
KC = Kennedy Space Center, FL, USA
KO = Kourou, French Guyana
KW = Kwajalein, Marshall Is.
KY = Kapustin Yar, Russia
MU = Musudan-ri North Korea
NP = North Pole Submarine Launch
OK = Sea of Okhotsk
OLP = Odyssey Launch Platform
PA = Palamchima, Isreal
PL = Plesetsk Northern Cosmodrome, Russia
PO = Pacific Ocean Range 154W-0N
SR = Satish Dhawan Space Center, Sriharikota, India
SLP = Second Launch Pad
TA = Tanageshima, Japan
TB = Tyuratam/Baikonur, Kazakstahn
TY = Taiyuan, China
WH = White Sea (Sub Launch), Russia
WI = Wallops Island
XC = Xi Chang, China
VA = Vandenberg AFB, CA, USA
YO = Yoshinobu Launch Pad
**Orbit Code:
EEO/M = Molynia (12-hr) Elliptical Earth Orbit
FTO = Failed to Orbit
FSO = Failed Suborbital
GTO = Geosynchronous Transfer Orbit
GTO+ = Supersynchronous or High Perigee Transfer Orbit
GTO- = Subsynchronous Transfer Orbit
GEO = Geosynchronous Orbit
HCO = Heliocentric (solar) Orbit
HTO = High Earth Transfer Orbit
LEO = Low Earth Orbit
LEO/S = Sun Synchronous Low Earth Orbit
LEO/P = Polar Low Earth Orbit
MEO = Medium Earth Orbit
MTO = Medium Earth Transfer Orbit
SUB = Suborbital
=========================================================================
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