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2004 Space Launch Report Updated October 30, 2006 2004 Launch Vehicle Standings
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| 2004 YEAR TO DATE LAUNCH STATS
Calender year launch vehicle results, ranked by number of successes, with launch total as the first tiebreaker and vehicle payload mass as the second tiebreaker. Low Earth Orbit (LEO) missions have orbital periods of less than 2 hours. Deep Space missions include heliocentric, planetocentric, and solar system escape trajectories. As of December 28, 2004 ========================================================= Vehicle Overall By Orbit Type Launches Earth-Orbit Earth-Escape (Failures) LEO >LEO Deep Space ========================================================= Proton-(K/M)*** 8(0) - 8(0)* - Soyuz/Molniya** 8(0) 7(0)* 1(0) - Delta 2(H) 7(0) 3(0) 3(0) 1(0) Atlas 2AS 4(0) - 4(0) - CZ-2C 4(0) 4(0) - - Ariane 5G+ 3(0) 1(0) 1(0) 1(0)* Zenit 3SL 3(1) - 3(1) - CZ-4B 2(0) 2(0) - - Kosmos 3M 2(0) 2(0) - - Titan 4B 1(0) - 1(0) - Atlas 5(21) 1(0) - 1(0) - Zenit 2 1(0) 1(0) - - Atlas 3A 1(0) - 1(0) - CZ-3A 1(0) - 1(0) - GSLV 1(0) - 1(0) - CZ-2D 1(0) 1(0) - - Dnepr 1(0) 1(0) - - Tsyklon 2 1(0) 1(0) - - Taurus XL 1(0) 1(0) - - Shavit 1(1) 1(1) - - Tsyklon 3 1(1) 1(1) - - Delta 4 Heavy 1(1) - 1(1) - ---------------------------------------------------------------- Total 54(4) 26(2) 26(2) 2(0) * Denotes YTD Leader in Category ** Soyuz/Molniya Details ------------------------------------------------------ Soyuz-U (Progress) 4(0) 4(0) - - Soyuz-U (Kosmos) 1(0) 1(0) - - Soyuz-FG/Fregat - - - - Soyuz-FG/Soyuz 2(0) 2(0) - - Molniya-M 1(0) - 1(0) - ------------------------------------------------------ ***Proton Details ------------------------------------------------------------- Proton-K/DM-2 2(0) - 2(0) - Proton-K/DM-2M 2(0) - 2(0) - Proton-K/17S40 - - - - Proton-K/Briz-M - - - - Proton-M/Briz-M 4(0) - 4(0) - ------------------------------------------------------------- ========================================================= Launch sites, ranked by number of year-to-date orbital launch attempts. As of December 28, 2004 ========================================================= Site Overall Launches (Failures) ========================================================= Baikonur, Kazakhstan 17(0) Cape Canaveral, Florida 13(1) Plestesk, Russia 5(1) Kourou, French Guyana 3(0) Vandenberg AFB, California 3(0) Taiyaun, China 3(0) XiChang, China 3(0) Sea Launch LP Odyssey (POR) 3(1) Jiuquan, China 2(0) Sriharikota, India 1(0) Palmanchim, Isreal 1(1) Svobodny, Russia - Tanegashima, Japan - Kagoshima, Japan - Kennedy Space Center, Florida - ========================================================= Launch Vehicle by Success Rate Top active or recently retired space launch vehicles ranked by their predicted orbital success rate* (5 or more launches to orbit). Failures include incorrect orbits. As of December 28, 2004 ================================================================ Vehicle Successes/Tries Realzd Pred Consc. Last Dates Rate Rate* Succes Fail ================================================================ Atlas 2/2AS 63 63 1.00 .98 63 None 1991-2004 Tsyklon 2 103 104 .99 .98 91 4/25/73 1967- Delta 2 115 117 .98 .97 62 1/17/97 1989- STS 111 113 .98 .97 0(A) 2/1/03 1981- Soyuz-U 697 717 .97 .97 14 10/15/02 1973- Ariane 4 113 116 .97 .97 74 12/11/94 1988-2003 Titan 2 17 17# 1.00 .95 17 None 1964-2003 Kosmos 3M 411 434 .95 .94 10 11/20/00 1964- Molniya M 273 291 .94 .94 52 6/21/90 1963- CZ-2(C)(/SD/SM) 26 27 .96 .93 26 11/5/74 1974- Proton-K/DM-2M 37 39 .95 .93 4 11/25/02 1994- Tsyklon 3 113 121 .93 .93 0 12/24/04 1977- CZ-4(A/B) 10 10 1.00 .92 10 None 1989- Proton-K/DM-2 95 103 .92 .91 9 10/27/99 1982- Soyuz-FG 8 8 1.00 .90 8 None 2001- Proton-K/17S40 6 6 1.00 .88 6 None 1997- Rokot/Briz/K(M) 6 6 1.00 .88 6 None 1994- Proton-K 26 29+ .90 .87 9 11/29/86 1968- CZ-2F 5 5 1.00 .86 5 None 1999- Atlas 3(A/B) 5 5 1.00 .86 5 None 2000- Pegasus (H/XL) 30 35 .86 .84 21 11/4/96 1991- Proton/Briz-M 9 10 .90 .83 9 7/5/99 1999- CZ-3/3A 19 22 .86 .83 9 8/18/96 1984- Titan 4B 13 15 .87 .82 10 4/30/99 1997- Ariane 5G(+) 16 19 .84 .81 9 7/12/01 1996-2004 Zenit 3SL/DMSL 12 14 .86 .81 0 6/29/04 1999- Titan 2(Star) 6 7% .86 .78 6 10/5/93 1964-2003 Taurus (XL) 6 7 .86 .78 1 9/21/01 1994- Zenit 2 28 36 .78 .76 5 9/9/98 1985- H-IIA 5 6 .83 .75 0 11/29/03 2001- START(-1) 5 6 .83 .75 4 3/28/95 1993- PSLV 6 8 .75 .70 4 9/29/97 1993- Shavit 4 7 .57 .56 0 9/6/04 1988- ================================================================ * First level Bayesian estimate of mean predicted probability of success for next launch attempt (k+1)/(n+2) where k is the number of successful events and n is the number of trials. #Includes 11 orbital Gemini Titan 2 and 6 Titan 23G missions. %Seven Titan 23G flights that flew suborbital profiles with Star 37 solid rocket motors providing the final orbital velocity increment. The single failure listed here involved the Star 37 stage. + Does not include one successful suborbital Proton-K test flight performed in 1970. A) 2003 STS-107 Columbia failure during reentry result of damage suffered during launch phase. |
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2004 SPACE LAUNCH LOG DATE VEHICLE ID PAYLOAD MASS(t) SITE* ORBIT** ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Jan 11 Zenit 3SL/DMSL SL12 Estrela Do Sul 1 4.8 POR GTO Jan 29 Soyuz-U 1685 Progress M1-11(ISS13P) 7.2 TB 1/5 LEO Feb 5 Atlas 2AS AC165 AMC-10 2.3 CC 36A GTO Feb 14 Titan 402B B-39 DSP-22 (IUS-10) 2.4 CC 40 GSO Feb 18 Molniya M 1686 Kosmos 2405 Ewarn 1.9 PL EEO/M Mar 2 Ariane 5G+ A518 Rosetta (V158) 3.0 KO 3 HCO Mar 13 Atlas 3A AC202 MBSat 4.1 CC 36B GTO Mar 15 Proton M/Briz M P304 W3A 4.25 TB 81/24 GTO+ Mar 20 Delta 2-7925 D303 GPS 2R-11 2.03 CC 17B MTO Mar 27 Proton K/DM-2 P305 Kosmos 2406,Globus 1-7 2.4 TB 81/23 GEO Apr 16 Atlas 2AS AC163 Superbird 6 3.1 CC 36A GTO+ Apr 18 CZ-2C 2C23 Tansuo 1/Naxing 1 0.23 XC LEO/P Apr 19 Soyuz-FG 1687 Soyuz TMA-4 (ISS8S) 7.2 TB 1/5 LEO Apr 20 Delta 2-7920 D304 Gravity Probe B 3.3 V 2W LEO/P Apr 26 Proton K/DM-2M P306 Ekspress AM-11 2.6 TB200/39 GEO May 4 Zenit 3SL/DMSL SL13 DirectTV-7S 5.5 POR GTO May 19 Atlas 2AS AC166 AMC-11 2.3 CC 36B GTO May 20 Taurus XL 3210 T7 Rocsat 2 0.8 V 576E LEO/S May 25 Soyuz-U 1688 Progress M-49 (ISS14P) 7.2 TB 1/5 LEO May 28 Tsyklon 2 104 Kosmos 2407 3.1 TB 90/20 LEO Jun 10 Zenit 2 Z2-36 Kosmos 2406 3.2 TB 45 LEO Jun 16 Proton M/Briz M P307 Intelsat 10-02 5.6 TB200/39 GTO+ Jun 23 Delta 2-7925 D305 GPS 2R-12 2.0 CC 17B MTO Jun 29 Zenit 3SL/DMSL SL13 Apstar 5 4.6 POR (EEO)* Jun 29 Dnepr 1 D4 8xmicrosats 0.2 TB 109 LEO Jul 15 Delta 2-7920 D306 Aura (NASA) 3.1 V 2W LEO/S Jul 18 Ariane 5G+ A519 Anik F2 (V163) 5.6 KO ELA3 GTO Jul 22 Kosmos 3M 433 Kosmos 2407 (Parus) 0.8 PL 132 LEO Jul 25 CZ-2C/SM 2C24 TanCe 2 0.7 TY EEO/P Aug 3 Delta 2-7925H D307 MESSENGER (NASA) 1.1 CC 17B HCO Aug 4 Proton M/Briz M P308 Amazonas 4.6 TB200/39 GTO+ Aug 11 Soyuz-U 1689 Progress M-50 (ISS15P) 7.2 TB 1/5 LEO Aug 29 CZ-2C 2C25 JB-4 2.0 JQ LEO Aug 31 Atlas 2AS AC167 NROL-1 (USA 179) CC 36A GTO-# Sep 6 Shavit 1 S1-5 Ofeq 6 0.2 PAL (FTO)** Sep 8 CZ-4B 4B9 SJ-6A/6B 1.2 TY LEO/P Sep 20 GSLV F-01 Edusat 2.0 SDSC GTO Sep 23 Kosmos 3M 434 Kosmos 2408-09 0.5 PL 132/1 LEO Sep 24 Soyuz-U 1690 Kosmos 2410 6.7 PL 16 LEO Sep 27 CZ-2D 2D5 FSW-20 3.0 JQ LEO Oct 14 Soyuz FG 1691 Soyuz TMA-5 (ISS9S) 7.2 TB 1/5 LEO Oct 14 Proton M/Briz M P309 AMC-15 4.0 TB200/39 GTO+ Oct 19 CZ-3A FY-2C 1.4 XC GTO Oct 29 Proton K/DM-2M P310 Exspress AM-1 2.5 TB200/39 GSO Nov 6 CZ-4B 4B10 spysat 1.2 TY LEO Nov 6 Delta 2-7925 D308 GPS 2R-13 2.0 CC 17B MTO Nov 8 Soyuz-2-1A 1692 Oblik GVM (Test Flt) 6.5 PL 43/4 SUB% Nov 18 CZ-2C 2C26 Shiyun Weixing 2 0.3 XC LEO/S Nov 20 Delta 2-7320 D309 SWIFT (NASA) 1.3 CC 17A LEO Dec 17 Atlas 5/521 AV005 AMC-16 4.2 CC 41 GTO Dec 18 Ariane 5G+ A520 V165/Helios 2A 4.2 KO ELA3 LEO/S& Dec 21 Delta 4H D310 Demosat/2microsats 6.0 CC 37B (EEO)&& Dec 23 Soyuz-U 1693 Progress M-51 7.5 TB 5/1 LEO Dec 24 Tsyklon 3 #121 Okean 01-N9 2.2 PL 32 (EEO)+ Dec 26 Proton K/DM-2 P311 3xGlonass 4.2 TB200/39 MTO --------------------------------------------------------------------------- * Failed: DMSL stage shut down 54 sec early due loose electrical connection. Payload delivered to transfer orbit with apogee 14,000 km lower than planned. Apstar 5 had to use own fuel to reach GSO. ** Failed to Orbit: Third stage failed to sep from second stage. Stage 3 burn did not occur. # Last Atlas 2AS, and final ICBM-based (MA-5(A) powered) Atlas. % Successful Suborbital test flight of first Soyuz-2-1A. & Last Ariane 5G+ && Failure: CBC strap-on boosters shut down 8 sec early. First second stage burn ran long to compensate, using more propellant than planned to reach LEO. Second burn achieved correct geosynchronous transfer orbit. Third burn ended early due to propellant depletion. Demosat orbit 19,029 x 36,408 km at 13.48 degree inclination versus planned 36,342 km circular at 10 degrees (perigee short by 17,313 km). + Failure: Remote sensing payload left in 280 x 650 km x 82.6 deg orbit versus planned 650 km circular sun synchronous orbit. Possible failure during 3rd stage apogee (2nd) burn. Launch Forecast 2004 MAJOR SUBORBITAL LAUNCH LOG DATE VEHICLE ID PAYLOAD MASS(t) SITE* ORBIT** ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Jan 27 Taurus Lite OBV 3 IFT-13B (EKV Mockup) 0.06 KW SUB Feb 18 RS-18 (UR-100NU) ICBM Test TB SUB Feb 18 RSM-54 Sineva SLBM Test (R-29RM) Barents FSO% Feb 18 Topol ICBM Test PL SUB Mar 17 RSM-54 Sineva SLBM Test (R-29RM) Barents SUB Mar 27 Hyper-X A-2 X-43A Scramjet R&D 1.4 V B-52 SUB Apr 20 Topol-M ICBM Test PL SUB Jun 21 SpaceShipOne Piloted Suborbital WK/EAFB SUB Jun 23 Minuteman 3 184 ICBM Test V SUB Jun 29 RSM-54 Sineva SLBM Test (R-29RM) Barents SUB Jul 21 MX Peacekeeper 33 ICBM Test V SUB Jul 23 Minuteman 3 185 ICBM Test V SUB Aug 11 RS-18 ICBM Test TB SUB Aug 29 Agni 2 IRBM Test Balasor SUB Aug DF-31/21 or JL-2 ICBM or SLBM Test China SUB Sep 8 RSM-54 Sineva SLBM Test (R-29RM)(1/2) Barents SUB Sep 8 RSM-54 Sineva SLBM Test (R-29RM)(2/2) Barents SUB Sep 15 Minuteman 3 186 ICBM Test V SUB Sep 29 SpaceShipOne Piloted Suborbital WK/EAFB SUB Oct 4 SpaceShipOne Piloted Suborbital WK/EAFB SUB Nov 2 RSM-50 Volna SLBM Test Okhotsk SUB Nov 2 Topol ICBM Test PL SUB Nov 8 Soyuz-2-1A Oblik GVM (Test Flt) 6.5 PL 43/4 SUB Nov 16 Hyper-X A-3 X-43A Scramjet R&D 1.4 V B-52 SUB Dec 22 R-36M2 ICBM Test DO SUB+ ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- % Sub launched. Destroyed at 98 seconds. + First ICBM test launch from Domarovskiy, Russia (silo launch). ------------------------------------------------------------------------ |
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