Space Launch Report
Home   On the Pad      Space Logs     Library      Links
AC-166, Penultimate Atlas 2AS 2004 Space Launch Report

Updated October 30, 2006

2004 Launch Vehicle Standings
2004 Launch Site Standings
Launch Vehicle by Success Rate
2004 Orbital Launch Log
2004 Suborbital Launch Log

2004 YEAR TO DATE LAUNCH STATS

2004 Launch Vehicle Results

Calender year launch vehicle results, ranked by number of successes, with launch total as the first tiebreaker and vehicle payload mass as the second tiebreaker.  Low Earth Orbit (LEO) missions have orbital periods of  less than 2 hours. Deep Space missions include heliocentric, planetocentric, and solar system escape  trajectories.

As of December 28, 2004

=========================================================    
Vehicle            Overall           By Orbit Type    
                   Launches      Earth-Orbit Earth-Escape    
                  (Failures)      LEO   >LEO  Deep Space    
=========================================================    
Proton-(K/M)***       8(0)         -     8(0)*   -
Soyuz/Molniya**       8(0)        7(0)*  1(0)    -
Delta 2(H)            7(0)        3(0)   3(0)   1(0)
Atlas 2AS             4(0)         -     4(0)    -
CZ-2C                 4(0)        4(0)    -      -
Ariane 5G+            3(0)        1(0)   1(0)   1(0)*
Zenit 3SL             3(1)         -     3(1)    -
CZ-4B                 2(0)        2(0)    -      -
Kosmos 3M             2(0)        2(0)    -      -
Titan 4B              1(0)         -     1(0)    -
Atlas 5(21)           1(0)         -     1(0)    - 
Zenit 2               1(0)        1(0)    -      -
Atlas 3A              1(0)         -     1(0)    -
CZ-3A                 1(0)         -     1(0)    -
GSLV                  1(0)         -     1(0)    -
CZ-2D                 1(0)        1(0)    -      -
Dnepr                 1(0)        1(0)    -      -
Tsyklon 2             1(0)        1(0)    -      -
Taurus XL             1(0)        1(0)    -      -
Shavit                1(1)        1(1)    -      -
Tsyklon 3             1(1)        1(1)    -      -
Delta 4 Heavy         1(1)         -     1(1)    -
----------------------------------------------------------------
Total                54(4)       26(2)  26(2)   2(0)

* Denotes YTD Leader in Category 
** Soyuz/Molniya Details 
------------------------------------------------------ 
Soyuz-U (Progress)    4(0)        4(0)    -      -
Soyuz-U (Kosmos)      1(0)        1(0)    -      -
Soyuz-FG/Fregat        -           -      -      -
Soyuz-FG/Soyuz        2(0)        2(0)    -      -
Molniya-M             1(0)         -     1(0)    -
------------------------------------------------------ 

***Proton Details
-------------------------------------------------------------
Proton-K/DM-2         2(0)         -     2(0)    -
Proton-K/DM-2M        2(0)         -     2(0)    -
Proton-K/17S40         -           -      -      -
Proton-K/Briz-M        -           -      -      -
Proton-M/Briz-M       4(0)         -     4(0)    -
-------------------------------------------------------------

=========================================================       
   

2004 Launch Site Standings

Launch sites, ranked by number of year-to-date orbital launch attempts.

As of December 28, 2004 

=========================================================    
Site                           Overall    
                               Launches    
                              (Failures)   
=========================================================    
Baikonur, Kazakhstan            17(0)
Cape Canaveral, Florida         13(1)
Plestesk, Russia                 5(1)
Kourou, French Guyana            3(0)
Vandenberg AFB, California       3(0)
Taiyaun, China                   3(0)
XiChang, China                   3(0)
Sea Launch LP Odyssey (POR)      3(1)
Jiuquan, China                   2(0)
Sriharikota, India               1(0)
Palmanchim, Isreal               1(1)
Svobodny, Russia                 Tanegashima, Japan                - 
Kagoshima, Japan                  - 
Kennedy Space Center, Florida     - 
=========================================================  
   

Launch Vehicle by Success Rate 

Top active or recently retired space launch vehicles ranked by 
their predicted orbital success rate* (5 or more launches to 
orbit).  Failures include incorrect orbits.
   
As of December 28, 2004

================================================================ 
Vehicle    Successes/Tries Realzd Pred  Consc. Last     Dates    
                            Rate  Rate* Succes Fail    
================================================================ 
Atlas 2/2AS     63    63   1.00  .98     63    None     1991-2004
Tsyklon 2      103   104    .99  .98     91    4/25/73  1967-
Delta 2        115   117    .98  .97     62    1/17/97  1989- 
STS            111   113    .98  .97      0(A) 2/1/03   1981- 
Soyuz-U        697   717    .97  .97     14    10/15/02 1973- 
Ariane 4       113   116    .97  .97     74    12/11/94 1988-2003
Titan 2         17    17#  1.00  .95     17    None     1964-2003
Kosmos 3M      411   434    .95  .94     10    11/20/00 1964- 
Molniya M      273   291    .94  .94     52    6/21/90  1963-    
CZ-2(C)(/SD/SM) 26    27    .96  .93     26    11/5/74  1974-  
Proton-K/DM-2M  37    39    .95  .93      4    11/25/02 1994-
Tsyklon 3      113   121    .93  .93      0    12/24/04 1977-
CZ-4(A/B)       10    10   1.00  .92     10    None     1989-
Proton-K/DM-2   95   103    .92  .91      9    10/27/99 1982-
Soyuz-FG         8     8   1.00  .90      8    None     2001-
Proton-K/17S40   6     6   1.00  .88      6    None     1997-
Rokot/Briz/K(M)  6     6   1.00  .88      6    None     1994- 
Proton-K        26    29+   .90  .87      9    11/29/86 1968- 
CZ-2F            5     5   1.00  .86      5    None     1999- 
Atlas 3(A/B)     5     5   1.00  .86      5    None     2000-
Pegasus (H/XL)  30    35    .86  .84     21    11/4/96  1991- 
Proton/Briz-M    9    10    .90  .83      9    7/5/99   1999-
CZ-3/3A         19    22    .86  .83      9    8/18/96  1984- 
Titan 4B        13    15    .87  .82     10    4/30/99  1997- 
Ariane 5G(+)    16    19    .84  .81      9    7/12/01  1996-2004
Zenit 3SL/DMSL  12    14    .86  .81      0    6/29/04  1999- 
Titan 2(Star)    6     7%   .86  .78      6    10/5/93  1964-2003
Taurus (XL)      6     7    .86  .78      1    9/21/01  1994- 
Zenit 2         28    36    .78  .76      5    9/9/98   1985- 
H-IIA            5     6    .83  .75      0    11/29/03 2001-
START(-1)        5     6    .83  .75      4    3/28/95  1993-  
PSLV             6     8    .75  .70      4    9/29/97  1993-
Shavit           4     7    .57  .56      0    9/6/04   1988-
================================================================ 
* First level Bayesian estimate of mean predicted probability  
 of success for next launch attempt (k+1)/(n+2) where k is the  
 number of successful events and n is the number of trials. 

#Includes 11 orbital Gemini Titan 2 and 6 Titan 23G missions.  

%Seven Titan 23G flights that flew suborbital profiles with 
 Star 37 solid rocket motors providing the final orbital velocity 
 increment.  The single failure listed here involved the Star 37 
 stage.  

+ Does not include one successful suborbital Proton-K test flight 
  performed in 1970.

A) 2003 STS-107 Columbia failure during reentry result of 
   damage suffered during launch phase. 



































 2004 SPACE LAUNCH LOG
DATE    VEHICLE         ID    PAYLOAD             MASS(t) SITE  ORBIT**
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Jan 11  Zenit 3SL/DMSL  SL12  Estrela Do Sul 1       4.8  POR      GTO
Jan 29  Soyuz-U         1685  Progress M1-11(ISS13P) 7.2  TB 1/5   LEO
Feb 5   Atlas 2AS       AC165 AMC-10                 2.3  CC 36A   GTO
Feb 14  Titan 402B      B-39  DSP-22 (IUS-10)        2.4  CC 40    GSO
Feb 18  Molniya M       1686  Kosmos 2405 Ewarn      1.9  PL       EEO/M
Mar 2   Ariane 5G+      A518  Rosetta (V158)         3.0  KO 3     HCO
Mar 13  Atlas 3A        AC202 MBSat                  4.1  CC 36B   GTO
Mar 15  Proton M/Briz M P304  W3A                    4.25 TB 81/24 GTO+
Mar 20  Delta 2-7925    D303  GPS 2R-11              2.03 CC 17B   MTO
Mar 27  Proton K/DM-2   P305  Kosmos 2406,Globus 1-7 2.4  TB 81/23 GEO
Apr 16  Atlas 2AS       AC163 Superbird 6            3.1  CC 36A   GTO+
Apr 18  CZ-2C           2C23  Tansuo 1/Naxing 1      0.23 XC       LEO/P
Apr 19  Soyuz-FG        1687  Soyuz TMA-4 (ISS8S)    7.2  TB 1/5   LEO
Apr 20  Delta 2-7920    D304  Gravity Probe B        3.3  V 2W     LEO/P
Apr 26  Proton K/DM-2M  P306  Ekspress AM-11         2.6  TB200/39 GEO
May  4  Zenit 3SL/DMSL  SL13  DirectTV-7S            5.5  POR      GTO
May 19  Atlas 2AS       AC166 AMC-11                 2.3  CC 36B   GTO
May 20  Taurus XL 3210  T7    Rocsat 2               0.8  V 576E   LEO/S
May 25  Soyuz-U         1688  Progress M-49 (ISS14P) 7.2  TB 1/5   LEO
May 28  Tsyklon 2       104   Kosmos 2407            3.1  TB 90/20 LEO
Jun 10  Zenit 2         Z2-36 Kosmos 2406            3.2  TB 45    LEO
Jun 16  Proton M/Briz M P307  Intelsat 10-02         5.6  TB200/39 GTO+
Jun 23  Delta 2-7925    D305  GPS 2R-12              2.0  CC 17B   MTO
Jun 29  Zenit 3SL/DMSL  SL13  Apstar 5               4.6  POR     (EEO)*
Jun 29  Dnepr 1         D4    8xmicrosats            0.2  TB 109   LEO
Jul 15  Delta 2-7920    D306  Aura (NASA)            3.1  V 2W     LEO/S
Jul 18  Ariane 5G+      A519  Anik F2 (V163)         5.6  KO ELA3  GTO
Jul 22  Kosmos 3M       433   Kosmos 2407 (Parus)    0.8  PL 132   LEO
Jul 25  CZ-2C/SM        2C24  TanCe 2                0.7  TY       EEO/P
Aug 3   Delta 2-7925H   D307  MESSENGER (NASA)       1.1  CC 17B   HCO
Aug 4   Proton M/Briz M P308  Amazonas               4.6  TB200/39 GTO+
Aug 11  Soyuz-U         1689  Progress M-50 (ISS15P) 7.2  TB 1/5   LEO
Aug 29  CZ-2C           2C25  JB-4                   2.0  JQ       LEO
Aug 31  Atlas 2AS       AC167 NROL-1 (USA 179)            CC 36A   GTO-#
Sep 6   Shavit 1        S1-5  Ofeq 6                 0.2  PAL     (FTO)**
Sep 8   CZ-4B           4B9   SJ-6A/6B               1.2  TY       LEO/P
Sep 20  GSLV            F-01  Edusat                 2.0  SDSC     GTO
Sep 23  Kosmos 3M       434   Kosmos 2408-09         0.5  PL 132/1 LEO
Sep 24  Soyuz-U         1690  Kosmos 2410            6.7  PL 16    LEO
Sep 27  CZ-2D           2D5   FSW-20                 3.0  JQ       LEO
Oct 14  Soyuz FG        1691  Soyuz TMA-5 (ISS9S)    7.2  TB 1/5   LEO
Oct 14  Proton M/Briz M P309  AMC-15                 4.0  TB200/39 GTO+
Oct 19  CZ-3A                 FY-2C                  1.4  XC       GTO
Oct 29  Proton K/DM-2M  P310  Exspress AM-1          2.5  TB200/39 GSO
Nov 6   CZ-4B           4B10  spysat                 1.2  TY       LEO
Nov 6   Delta 2-7925    D308  GPS 2R-13              2.0  CC 17B   MTO
Nov 8   Soyuz-2-1A      1692  Oblik GVM (Test Flt)   6.5  PL 43/4  SUB%
Nov 18  CZ-2C           2C26  Shiyun Weixing 2       0.3  XC       LEO/S
Nov 20  Delta 2-7320    D309  SWIFT (NASA)           1.3  CC 17A   LEO
Dec 17  Atlas 5/521     AV005 AMC-16                 4.2  CC 41    GTO
Dec 18  Ariane 5G+      A520  V165/Helios 2A         4.2  KO ELA3  LEO/S&
Dec 21  Delta 4H        D310  Demosat/2microsats     6.0  CC 37B  (EEO)&&
Dec 23  Soyuz-U         1693  Progress M-51          7.5  TB 5/1   LEO
Dec 24  Tsyklon 3       #121  Okean 01-N9            2.2  PL 32   (EEO)+
Dec 26  Proton K/DM-2   P311  3xGlonass              4.2  TB200/39 MTO
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
* Failed:  DMSL stage shut down 54 sec early due loose electrical 
   connection.  Payload delivered to transfer orbit with apogee 
   14,000 km lower than planned.  Apstar 5 had to use own fuel to 
   reach GSO.

** Failed to Orbit:  Third stage failed to sep from second stage.
   Stage 3 burn did not occur.

# Last Atlas 2AS, and final ICBM-based (MA-5(A) powered) Atlas.  

%  Successful Suborbital test flight of first Soyuz-2-1A.

&  Last Ariane 5G+
&& Failure:  CBC strap-on boosters shut down 8 sec early.  
   First second stage burn ran long to compensate, using more 
   propellant than planned to reach LEO.  Second burn achieved 
   correct geosynchronous transfer orbit.  Third burn ended early 
   due to propellant depletion.  Demosat orbit 19,029 x 36,408 km 
   at 13.48 degree inclination versus planned 36,342 km circular at 
   10 degrees (perigee short by 17,313 km). 

+  Failure:  Remote sensing payload left in 280 x 650 km x 82.6 deg 
   orbit versus planned 650 km circular sun synchronous orbit. 
   Possible failure during 3rd stage apogee (2nd) burn.
Launch Forecast
2004 MAJOR SUBORBITAL LAUNCH LOG 
DATE    VEHICLE         ID    PAYLOAD             MASS(t) SITE  ORBIT**
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Jan 27  Taurus Lite OBV  3    IFT-13B (EKV Mockup)   0.06 KW      SUB
Feb 18  RS-18 (UR-100NU)      ICBM Test                   TB      SUB
Feb 18  RSM-54 Sineva         SLBM Test (R-29RM)          Barents FSO%
Feb 18  Topol                 ICBM Test                   PL      SUB
Mar 17  RSM-54 Sineva         SLBM Test (R-29RM)          Barents SUB
Mar 27  Hyper-X          A-2  X-43A Scramjet R&D     1.4  V B-52  SUB
Apr 20  Topol-M               ICBM Test                   PL      SUB
Jun 21  SpaceShipOne          Piloted Suborbital          WK/EAFB SUB
Jun 23  Minuteman 3      184  ICBM Test                   V       SUB
Jun 29  RSM-54 Sineva         SLBM Test (R-29RM)          Barents SUB
Jul 21  MX Peacekeeper   33   ICBM Test                   V       SUB
Jul 23  Minuteman 3      185  ICBM Test                   V       SUB
Aug 11  RS-18                 ICBM Test                   TB      SUB
Aug 29  Agni 2                IRBM Test                   Balasor SUB
Aug     DF-31/21 or JL-2      ICBM or SLBM Test           China   SUB
Sep 8   RSM-54 Sineva         SLBM Test (R-29RM)(1/2)     Barents SUB
Sep 8   RSM-54 Sineva         SLBM Test (R-29RM)(2/2)     Barents SUB
Sep 15  Minuteman 3      186  ICBM Test                   V       SUB
Sep 29  SpaceShipOne          Piloted Suborbital          WK/EAFB SUB
Oct 4   SpaceShipOne          Piloted Suborbital          WK/EAFB SUB
Nov 2   RSM-50 Volna          SLBM Test                   Okhotsk SUB
Nov 2   Topol                 ICBM Test                   PL      SUB
Nov 8   Soyuz-2-1A            Oblik GVM (Test Flt)   6.5  PL 43/4 SUB
Nov 16  Hyper-X          A-3  X-43A Scramjet R&D     1.4  V B-52  SUB
Dec 22  R-36M2                ICBM Test                   DO      SUB+
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

% Sub launched.  Destroyed at 98 seconds.

+ First ICBM test launch from Domarovskiy, Russia (silo launch).

------------------------------------------------------------------------